While the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars will both end up on the outside looking in come playoff time this season, the two rebuilding AFC South rivals will hook up in one of the more intriguing pairings on the Week 11 docket, even if the affair doesn’t get the same publicity as some of the other more attractive Week 11 matchups.
The NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football betting spread favors the Jacksonville Jaguars by 3-points to beat the Tennessee Titans. Yes, you heard that right. The Jags are the favorites. Nevertheless, this divisional pairing is offering NFL bettors a ton of value, now let’s find out why!
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Spread
What: Tennessee Titans (2-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6)
When: Thursday, November 19, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Jacksonville, FL
Stadium: EverBank Field
Weather: 75° F | Rain
Spread: Jaguars -3
Moneyline: Tennessee +120 vs Jacksonville -140
Game Total: 43.5
Watch/Stream: NFL Network
Listen: Tennessee vs Jacksonville
Bet The Tennessee Titans at +3 Because…
The Tennessee Titans (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS) have a whole new mindset under interim head coach Mike Mularkey and while they were manhandled in their humbling 27-10 loss against unbeaten Carolina on Sunday, the Titans did look pretty phenomenal in smacking the hapless Saints around one week earlier.
— Nike Football (@usnikefootball) November 16, 2015
Rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota completed 16 of 24 passes for 185 yards with one interception in the loss, but still walked away with the respect of the Panthers.
"We just understand that guy is capable of putting up big numbers and he’s shown it," Panthers linebacker Thomas Davis said. "We know they’re a much different team when he’s in the lineup and we knew we had to be on our A game today."
Tennessee was shutout 13-0 in the second half and shot themselves in the foot with miscues.
"We just didn’t do a good job of executing on third down and that starts with me," Mariota said. "I’ve got to do a better job of helping those guys out in terms of protection and getting the ball out and allowing the guys to make plays."
The Titans only got past midfield once n the second half against Carolina’s stout defense.
"One thing I thought we did well early and better than we have, even last week, we were better on third down," Mularkey said. "And then all of a sudden, Anthony (Fasano) drops a flat route over there that gets a drive started and then we drop a third-down snap."
Bet The Jacksonville Jaguars at -3 Because…
The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) have won two of their last three games, but have been playing really good football for the better part of the last six weeks if you ask me.
The Jags picked up a stellar 22-20 win over Baltimore on Sunday to cash in as a 5-point road dog and improve to 3-0 ATS over their last trio of games. Jacksonville came back from a 14-10 halftime deficit by limiting the Ravens to just six second half points while forcing the Ravens into four turnovers, including two interceptions by Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco.
Young quarterback Blake Bortles completed 22 of 45 passes for 188 yards with two touchdown and one interception, but its was Baltimore’s boneheaded play on the game’s final snap that cost the Ravens the win.
— Nike Football (@usnikefootball) November 13, 2015
You see, when Bortles dropped back to pass on the game’s final play, Ravens’ linebacker Elvis Dumervil ripped Bortles’ helmet by the facemask, thereby moving the ball from the 49-yard-line to Baltimore’s 34 and allowing the Ravens to run one more play.
"I was just out there trying to do something to get us downfield," Bortles said. "That was probably the wildest finish I’ve ever been involved in."
Kicker Jason Myers stepped up and nailed the game-winning 53-yard field goal to lift Jacksonville to victory.
"I was ready for it," Myers said. "Once we got the ball back, I spent my time concentrating and preparing for a chance I hoped would come."
Jacksonville (3-6) snapped a 13-game road losing streak with the improbable victory.
"Unbelievable game," Jacksonville coach Gus Bradley said. "Give credit to both teams with that game going back and forth. We knew it was going to be a one possession game just by the history of both teams."
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
While 65 percent of the betting public likes Jacksonville to get the home win in this contest, I think the best play is to bet the Over. These two AFC South rivals combine to allow 52.1 points per game and Jacksonville has scored at least 20 points in each of their last five games.
I know the Under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these teams, but the Total has gone Over in five of Tennessee’s last seven road games and I believe it will in this contest as well as the Over has gone 11-7 in these AFC South rivals’ 19 combined games this season.
Marcus Mariota has shown he can put points on the board and I believe Blake Bortles and the young talent around him will combine to get the Jags in the end zone enough times to help the final score play over the 42.5-point O/U Total.
In addition to my pick for the Over, I also like Tennessee to get the ATS cover by recording the outright road win!