The Washington Redskins are feeling pretty good after getting their first win of the 2015 regular season the last time out, but winning their second straight game while handing the unbeaten Atlanta Falcons their first loss of the season looks like a virtually impossible task.
Having said that should you bet the 8-point spread on the underdog Redskins or the favored Falcons?
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 5 Line
What: Washington Redskins (2-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-0)
When: Sunday, October 11, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Spread: Falcons -8
Moneyline: Washington +300 vs Atlanta -360
Game Total: 47.5
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Washington vs Atlanta
Bet The Washington Redskins at +7.5 Because…
The Redskins are fourth in the NFL in yards before contact per rush at 2.98.
The Redskins are coming off a thrilling, 23-20 last-second win against the NFC East division rival Eagles, but Philly is a complete mess this season (thanks Chip Kelly) and nowhere near the team that we’ve seen in Atlanta so far.
The good news for Washington fans and their betting backers is the fact that the Skins have been very good on the defensive side of the football this season. The Redskins rank fourth in total yards allowed, ninth against the pass, a stellar second against the run and 10th in points allowed (19.8 ppg).
Unfortunately, Washington also ranks just 18th in passing and a discouraging 23rd in scoring (19.5 ppg) though they have run the ball effectively with rookie Matt Jones and veteran Alfred Morris combining to help the Skins rank first in rushing (139.5 ypg).
Bet The Atlanta Falcons at -7.5 Because…
The Falcons convert 80% of their trips in the red zone into TDs, #1 the NFL. They also onvert 54.1% of their 3rd downs (2nd).
Veteran signal-caller Matt Ryan isn’t mentioned very much in the same breath as other elite quarterbacks like Brady, Manning, Brees and Rodgers Ltd., but the fact of the matter is that Matty Ice has dropped the nametag under-performer.
Ryan is completing a blistering 67.1 percent of his passes and has thrown for 1,202 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions. Ryan has combined with welcome to the light wide receiver Julio Jones to form the league’s top quarterback-receiver combination this season. For his part, Jones has topped 130 receiving yards in every game except Atlanta’s most 48-21 blowout over Houston in Week 5 as the team looks to rest its superstar wideout in an effort to help him get by some nagging injuries.
Making things even worse for Washington is the recent play of second-year running back Devonta Freeman. The former U star has rushed for a combined 209 yards and six touchdowns over his last two games, giving Atlanta’s opponents this season even more to worry about.
The Falcons are also playing some of the best defense in the league this season under first-year head coach Dan Quinn. While the Falcons rank just 15th in points allowed (23.2 ppg) Quinn’s aggressive approach has worked wonders for the Falcons as they currently rank ninth in interceptions, fourth in fumble recoveries and seventh in total takeaways (8).
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
Washington has a very solid defense this season and a solid rushing attack. That should be enough for most teams, but it’s hard to trust #DontMakeMeThrowMoreThan35passes Kirk Cousins.
Washington is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games and a 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Conversely, the Falcons have gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC counterparts, not to mention a perfect 4-0 ATS this season.
While the road team in this rivalry has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, Washington can’t come close to being an informed expert pick. I say back the Falcons to cover the spread by picking off Cousins at least twice!