Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos AFC Divisional ATS Upset Pick & TV ScheduleNoah Williams
Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton and the high-octane Indianapolis Colts travel to Mile High where they are a 7-point road underdog against Peyton Manning, DeMarcus Ware and te Denver Broncos. In what should be a great game between two well-balanced teams, the Colts should provide bettors with good value as a 7-point underdog.
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) January 9, 2015
Can the Colts over come the 7-point spread for an AFC divisional playoff ATS upset over the Broncos today? Let’s find out.
A Closer Look At Colts vs Broncos AFC Divisional ATS Upset Pick & TV Schedule
Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
Date: Jan. 11, 2015
Start Time: 4:40 p.m. ET
Location: Denver, Colorado
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
TV Info: CBS
Radio: Indianapolis Vs Denver
Point Spread: Broncos -7
Game Total: 54
Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts looked fantastic in dominating the Cincinnati Bengals in their AFC Wild Card matchup last weekend and right now, I think they’ve got a great chance to cover the playoff betting line against Peyton Manning the Denver Broncos as touchdown road dogs on Sunday.
— NFLonCBS (@NFLonCBS) January 6, 2015
"The one magical play was when Andrew was at his finest," said coach Chuck Pagano. "He’s a maestro. He’s unbelievable back there. We were a little unsettled, a little anxious, in the first half. We just said, ‘Hey! Just calm down, relax.”
If the Colts want to win this contest they’re going to need to get pressure up the middle on Manning and harass the quickly aging signal-caller into a poor performance. While that may have seemed like a long shot a few weeks ago when the Broncos were on fire, that possibility looks a lot more real now with Manning struggling like never before over the last few weeks.
Denver’s future Hall of Fame quarterback has thrown multiple interceptions in each of the three losses Denver suffered over the second half of the season and each time, Denver’s opponents got major pressure on the immobile Manning, forcing the veteran into a series of poor throws.
For Denver, they face an identical task if they want to win this game. Simply out, the Broncos will need to find a way to stop Andrew Luck.
The gifted third-year pro tossed at least one interception in each of the Colts’ five losses this season while tossing multiple interceptions in three of those games while failing to reach the 200-yard plateau in two.
Ironically, both teams tied for ninth in sacks with an identical 41 while the Broncos finished an impressive seventh in team interceptions (18).
Indianapolis will need to play better defense than they have against ‘good’ teams recently. The Colts gave up at least 30 points in each loss this season while allowing a whopping 42 points or more in each of their last three regular season losses.
— FOX Sports NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 5, 2015
While I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Indianapolis pull off the upset road win, I think the likely scenario is that Denver wins a nail-biter against the Colts that plays just over the 54-point Over/Under Total.
The Colts have the number one passing offense and the 15th rushing in the NFL and will face the Broncos defense that ranks 9th against the pass and 2nd best stopping the run. Indianapolis averages 28.6 points per game.
The Denver Broncos had a bye week much needed for a team that looked gassed over the last few weeks of the regular season.
“We had such a big stretch between our in-season bye (Week 4) and the bye we were able to collect here in the playoffs, long stretch of games, 13 I believe,” Broncos coach John Fox said, via ESPN.com. “Guys needed a little bit of a break, time to heal up, we feel good about where we are right now.”
The Broncos have the 4th ranked passing and 15th ranked rushing offenses and will face the 12th ranked passing defense and the 18th ranked against the run D. Denver averages 30.1 points per game, only behind the Green Bay Packers (30.4).
Andrew Luck threw for 4761 yards, 40 TDs & 16 INTs in the 2014 regular season while Peyton Manning went for 4727 yards 39 TDs & 15 INTs.
Luck and Manning have faced each other two times with a win for each, including a Denver victory this season 31-24 at Mile High in week one this season.
The Colts are:
- 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games
- 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
- 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall
- 0-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass
The Broncos are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win
- 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in January
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite