The Indianapolis Colts will look to extend their modest winning streak by beating their third straight AFC South division rival when they square off against the Houston Texans in their Week 5 showdown on Thursday night.
Now, let’s find out if the Colts can bring home the bacon for the first time this season against a ‘desperate’ Texans team.
A Closer Look At The Indianapolis Colts Vs Houston Texans NFL Week 5 Odds & TV Info
What: Indianapolis Colts (2-2) at Houston Texans (1-3)
When: Thursday, October 8, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Houston, TX
Stadium: NRG Stadium
Weather: 85° F | A Mixture of Sun and Clouds
Spread: Texans -1
Game Total: 44
Watch: CBS/NFL Network
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Indianapolis vs Houston
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Bet The Indianapolis Colts Because…
Betting on the Colts for this Week 5 matchup is a great idea for several reasons. First and foremost, Indianapolis is still absolutely desperate after getting off to a slow start this season and narrowly squeaking by two division rivals the last two weeks.
Indianapolis has also made a habit of smacking around their division rivals like a rag doll, going 18-2 SU and 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games against their AFC South rivals. Indy has pretty much owned Houston along the way, going 7-3 SU and 6-3-1 ATS over their last 10 meetings against the Texans.
Last but certainly not least, the Colts will likely have Luck back under center for this contest and I’m expecting a much better effort out of the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft after watching him regress a bit into something of a turnover machine his last few starts.
Bet The Houston Texans Because…
You’re related to a player on the Texans’ roster. Seriously tough, there’s not much reasons to bet on Houston in this contest, seeing as how they’ve lost five straight against the Colts while going 0-4-1 ATS over the stretch.
Not only that, but if you saw uninspiring quarterback Ryan Mallett in last week’s loss against Atlanta, then you probably already know this is a guy that looks like a career backup on his very best day.
Mallett was replaced by former starter-turned backup, Brian Hoyer during Houston’s 48-21 Week 4 blowout loss to the Falcons. Mallett completed an awful 44.4 percent of his throws (12 of 27) for 150 yards and one interception and is completing just 51.8 percent of his throws on the season since being named the Texans starter after Hoyer’s Week 1 debacle.
“He’s our starting quarterback," Texans head Bill O’Brien said Monday. "He knows he has to play better. He’s got to do a better job of throwing the ball more accurately, be more controlled in the pocket, don’t turn it over, get us into the right play. That’s who will start against the Indianapolis Colts."
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
When the spread for this matchup is released, I’m expecting Indianapolis to be favored somewhere in the neighborhood of seven points.
If the spread approaches double digits, then Indianapolis could struggle to cover. However, with the way Mallett and the Texans offense are operating, I expect Indy to win by at least a touchdown.
Indianapolis is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 Thursday night games and a scorching 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a losing record.
Conversely, the Texans are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Week 5 games and a winless 0-5 ATS in their last five Thursday games. I am picking the Colts as the smart bet to beat the Texans. My final score prediction is Indianapolis 31, Houston 14.