Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Against the Spread Betting PicksNoah Williams
Even after their epic comeback against the Texans last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers will still be rare home underdogs Sunday when they host the hottest team in the AFC, the Indianapolis Colts.
The Steelers have been home dogs mere seven times since 2005, going 5-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in those games and winning four of them straight up (SU). They are also 10-2-1 ATS in their past 13 games as home dogs dating back to 2000.
Head-coach Mike Tomlin expects both injured rookie linebacker Ryan Shazier (knee) and safety Shamarko Thomas (hamstring) to play Sunday when they host the Indianapolis Colts.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
When: 4:25 pm ET, Oct. 26
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Betting Odds: Indianapolis -3
Colts Vs Steelers Against the Spread Betting Picks Analysis:
The Steelers found a way to win Monday despite being outplayed for most of the first half. Scoring three touchdowns in the final 1:27 of the second quarter against Houston. It started with a 35 yard pass from Big Ben Roethlisberger to Martavis Bryant. Then, came a 3 yards pass from Lance Moore to Antonio Brown after a Texans’ fumble. An interception led to a 2 yard run by Le’Veon Bell and, just like that, the game was over.
There was no way that Houston was going to come back from an onslaught like that. No way. Let’s be honest with ourselves, though. The Steelers got lucky. Houston was controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. If the Steelers go out in the first half and play lackadaisical football against Indianapolis, they’re going to lose the game by a wide margin.
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) October 22, 2014
Pittsburgh’s offense is one of the best in the NFL. It averages 386.7 yards per game. Le’Veon Bell has rushed for 599 yards. He’s definitely solved whatever rushing issues the Steelers had going into the season. He’s a work horse that gives his team 100 yards on most days. Roethlisberger is having a Pro Bowl type season. He’s passed for 1858 yards and he’s thrown 10 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions.
As good as the Steelers offense has been this season; the defense has been just as bad. The Pittsburgh defense gave up 31 points to Cleveland in a shocking 17 to 31 Pittsburgh loss. Even Houston scored 23 points against the Steelers’ D and the Houston offense has a lackluster passing attack.
It wouldn’t be an issue for the Steelers if they didn’t face the best offensive team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. The Colts average 30.9 points a game. That ranks Indy second in the scoring department. The Colts average 452.9 yards per game. That ranks it first in the NFL in yards per matchup. Andrew Luck throws for 329.6 yards per game. That ranks the passing attack first in the league in yards per contest.
Luck has put up MVP numbers this season. He’s thrown for an incredible 2331 yards and 19 touchdowns. Luck and the offense is supported by what’s turning into a very good defense. The Colts allow only 311.1 yards per game, ranking it third in the NFL in yards allowed per. The defense also allows only 96.7 rushing yards and 214.4 yards on average per game through the air.
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 23, 2014
Pittsburgh is 4 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record; the Colts are 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The trends won’t help us to make a pick.
The truth is that Indianapolis, based on stats, should rock Pittsburgh on Sunday, but the games are played on the field. The crazy game versus Houston could very well have woken Pittsburgh up and it’s always tough to give points to a road favorite.
In the NFL, road favorites don’t always do enough to cover spreads. The line is 3 points. Pittsburgh has to be the play because they’re the home dog in this matchup.
Agains the Spread Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +3