The Indianapolis Colts are 2.5-point favorites against the Buffalo Bills when both squads begin their 2015 campaigns. This game marks the coaching debut for Rex Ryan in Buffalo. It will be a Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST kickoff at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The game will be broadcast on CBS this Sunday, Sept. 13th at 1:00 PM ET. when the Bills welcome the Colts for Rex Ryan’s head coaching debut in Buffalo.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Indianapolis Colts 6-4 On Road since last season
- Buffalo Bills 3-4 At Home since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 10-4-1 As Favorite since last season
- Buffalo Bills 2-3 When Line was 44.5 to 47.5 since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 4-2 As Road Favorite since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-6 O-U At Home since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 O-U When Line was 44.5 to 47.5 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-5 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season
An In-Depth Look At The Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills NFL Week 1 Online Spread, ATS Pick & How To Watch
Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
Date: Sunday, Sept. 13th, 2015
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Buffalo, New York
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Spread: Colts -2.5
Game Total: 46
TV Info: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Radio: Indianapolis Vs Buffalo
Last time these two met the Colts won and covered the 2.5-point spread by a score of 20 to 13. Indianapolis has won eight of the last ten meetings against Buffalo and has covered the NFL betting spread in six of those ten.
The Colts had the 3rd-ranked offense last season. The top passing attach and the 22nd at rushing it. That go them all the way to the AFC Championship game which they lost to the Pats by 38 points. Blame the Patriots cheating ways or the lack of talent surrounding Luck and Hilton. Both problems were addressed in the offseason. Hopefully. Fingers crossed.
"There's a part of you that's still salty." Andrew Luck opens up about watching Tom Brady win the Super Bowl: WATCH: http://t.co/kVUl4dyx4F
— ESPN (@espn) September 1, 2015
Back to QB Andrew Luck (4761 yards, 40 TDs and 16 INTs, 96.5 passer rating) who led the league in passing last year. Can you believe it was only his 3rd season as starter? An opposing coach was gushing about Luck, "He is as smart as Peyton, as accurate as Brady, tougher than Ben and as athletic as RG3."
Adding RB Frank Gore (255 att, 1106 yards, 4 TDs) helps, while adding WR Andre Johnson (85 rec, 936 yards, 3 TDs Houston Texans) and WR Phillip Dorsett could help open running lanes from three-receiver personnel.
“He runs meetings like a coach. Basically, I’m playing with a coordinator on the field,” RB Frank Gore told The Jim Rome Show about Andrew Luck. “He’s a football God. He sees everything, and he sees the big picture of everything.”
Behind a middling line, can 32-year-old Frank Gore get Indy running? (And with Andrew Luck at QB, does it matter?) http://t.co/p0SMayAEA1
— The MMQB (@theMMQB) September 8, 2015
Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton (82 rec, 1345 yards, 7 TDs) broke out in a colossal way last year. Hilton had a big offseason that included a 5-year, $65 million contract extension. Hilton was set to enter the final season of his rookie contract, a deal that totaled four years and approximately $2.64 million. He suffered a concussion in the Colts’ third preseason game. ESPN’s Britt McHenry is reporting that Hilton is expected to be cleared in the concussion protocol on Thursday. That puts him in line to play in this game.
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Andrew Luck (4761 yds, 40 TDs, 16 INTs)||LB D’Q Well Jackson (140 tackles)|
|RB Trent Richardson (519 yds, 3 TDs)||CB Mike Adams (5 INTs)|
|WR TY Hilton (1345 yds, 7 TDs)||LB Jonathan Newsone (6.5 sacks)|
QBs Matt Cassel (425 yards, 3 TDs & 4 in 2014 with the Minnesota Vikings) and EJ Manuel (838 yards, 5 TDs & 3 INTs in 2014) lost the starting gig to relatively unknown Tyron Taylor.
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) September 4, 2015
Last year the Bills had now-retired QB Kyle Orton (3018 yards, 18 TDs, 10 INTs & 87.8 rating) running the offesne. The Bills had the 26th-ranked offense in the league, 18th passing and 25th rushing.
Veteran RB Fred Jackson (525 yards & 2 TDs) was unceremoniously cut last week. The Bills added stud rusher LeSean "Shady" McCoy (312 att, 1319 yards & 5 TDs with the Philadelphia Eagles). McCoy is dealing with a bum hammie and is questionable to start.
"Well we certainly expect him to be ready to go, I hope," coach Rex Ryan was quoted in the Buffalo News. "If not then the next man has to step up. Boobie [Dixon] got a lot of reps out there today. Bryce Brown got a lot of reps today. So we will see. I am not going to put that all on one man. If he is not ready to go, he won’t be in there."
Catching the balls for the Bills will be WRs Sammy Watkins (65 rec, 982 yards &6 TDs), Robert Woods (65 rec, 699 yards & 5 TDs) and newcomer Percy Harvin.
The Colts’ defense ranked 11th in total defense last season, 12th against the pass and 18th at stopping the run. To improve the porous defense, the Indy brain-trust added OLB Trent Cole, DT Kendall Langford and FS Dwight Lowery in the free agency.
Buffalo’s defense ranked 4th in the league, 3rd against the pass and 11th at stopping the run. Those numbers are only going to get better this year with Rex Ryan, a defensive genius, will be running the show. The loss of linebacker Kiko Alonso (via trade that brought McCoy to Buffalo) will be hard to swallow.
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Kyle Orton (3018 yds, 18 TDs, 10 INTs)||LB Preston Brown (109 tackles)|
|RB Fred Jackson (525 yds, 2 TDs)||CB Leodis McKelvin (4 INTs)|
|WR Sammy Watkins (982 yds, 6 TDs)||DE Mario Williams (14.5 sacks)|
The Colts are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points, 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0 points, 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games overall, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC teams, 34-16-3 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS in their last six games in September, but 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in Week 1.
The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC teams and 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0 points.
I am picking the Bills to beat the Colts outright. Don’t mess with the NFL week 1 betting spread, take the Bills on the money line. My final score prediction is Buffalo 25, Indy 21. The betting public disagrees with me as 66% of the betting cash is coming in on the Colts.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Indianapolis: Robert Mathis, Arthur Jones.
- Buffalo: LeSean McCoy, Leodis McKelvin, Marcell Dareus