The Jacksonville Jaguars are gunning for two straight wins for the first time since 2013. They will have to get past the angry New England Patriots first. The NFL week 3 odds have the Jags as 14.5-point underdogs when they visit Foxboro. The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, Sept. 27th at 1:00 PM ET.
The Patriots are known for taking every opponent like a Super Bowl opponent, but how will they approach a team that no one outside of North-east Florida take seriously? Should you bet on the Patriots to win? The Jags to cover the spread? Answers to those questions and more.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Jacksonville Jaguars 4-5 On Road since last season
- New England Patriots 6-4-1 At Home since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 7-10 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 1-2 When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 4-5 As Road Underdog since last season
- New England Patriots 7-4 O-U At Home since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 3-2 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- New England Patriots 8-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- New England Patriots 6-4 O-U When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 3-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season
- New England Patriots 3-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging <21 PPG since last season
An In-Depth Look At The Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots NFL Week Betting Trends & Stats
What: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at New England Patriots (2-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Weather: 65° F/Scattered Clouds
Spread: Patriots -14.5
Moneyline: Jacksonville +700 vs New England -1100
Game Total: 47.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Jacksonville vs New England
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-1 straight up and against the spread after upsetting the Miami Dolphins is a stunning 23-20 victory last week. It was the Jags first win in September since 2012 and it put them into the early AFC South lead. The is also proof that sophomore head-coach Gus Bradley’s Jags are improving.
"[Gus and his] staff have done a really good job putting this team together," Belichick said on Wednesday. "They’re young, they’re hungry, they’re talented. We’re going to have to do a great job this week of knowing the personnel we’re playing against, because they do move players around to create matchups."
The Jaguars offense is averaging 16.0 points per game (30th) and ranks 18th at passing the football (221.0 y/g) and 17th when rushing (109.5 y/g).
Sophomore QB Blake Bortles, while improving, is still an average QB statistically. So far this season he has thrown for 456 yards, 3 TDs & 2 INTs while completing 54.8% of his passes. Fantasy owners, he has also thrown at least one touchdown pass in five of his last seven games.
Bortles top target is deep threat WR Allen Robinson who has 7 rec, 182 yards, 2 TDs so far. He was targeted 19 times through two weeks. WR Allen Hurns (9 rec, 128 yards, 0 TDs) lines up opposite Robinson and is due for an end-zone celebration.
The Jaguars rush attack is averaging 109.5 yards per game. Rookie RB TJ Yeldon (37 rec, 121 yards 0 TD) was given the keys to the backfield during preseason, but he still needs to to show everyone why.
On defense the Jags are ranked 9th over all, allowing 20.0 points per game. They are ranked 20th against the pass (251 y/g) and 5th at stopping the run (73.5 y/g). Telvin Smith leads the Jags with 18 tackles, Paul Posluszny has an interception and Jared Odrick has a forced fumble. Dwayne Gratz, Toby Gerhart and Sen’Derrick Marks are questionable with injuries.
Jags' Brown often reminded of Gronk's block http://t.co/sVAuk6NnyD
— ESPNBoston (@ESPNBoston) September 24, 2015
New England is 2-0 straight up and 1-0-1 against the spread so far in 2015. Last week the NFL odds had the Patriots a pick ’em vs the Bills in Buffalo. The final score was New England 40, Buffalo 32.
Tom Brady has been on a tear so far this season. He completed 69.2% of his passes for 754 yards, 7 TDs and 0 INT, posting 119.9 passer rating. All of that adds up to the Patriots being the top passing offense in the NFL, averaging 366.0 passing yards per game. They are the second in points per game, scoring 34 per.
Unstoppable TE Rob Gronkowski (12 rec, 207 yards, 4 TDs) leads the NFL receiving touchdowns and WR Julian Edelman has been Brady’s top target (22 rec, 194 yards, 2 TDs).
New England has a clear issue. They have have attempted 91 passes and have totaled 39 rushes. Either they don’t want to run the ball or can’t. They average 68.0 yards per game (28 th) with unknown RB Dion Lewis (22 att, 109 yards 1 TD) in charge of the backfield. RB LeGarrette Blount was suspended for the first game of the season and only had 2 carries for 4 yards last week.
“If it works out that we’re balanced, that’s fine. But if it works out that we’re favoring more of one than the other, if that’s working, that’s fine too,” Belichick said this week.
The Patriots defense rankes 23rd in the league They are giving up 26.5 points per game (23rd), rank 22nd against the pass (260.0 y/g) and 28th at stopping the run (147.0 y/g). Dont’a Hightower leads the team with 20 tackles, Jamie Collins has 2.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has an interception. Dominique Easley and Ryan Wendell are questionable with injuries.
The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games in September, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Patriots are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, but 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Jacksonville: Denard Robinson, Rashad Greene, Julius Thomas
- New England: Brandon LaFell, Chris Jones, Dane Fletcher