Updated Odds To Win the NFC Championship

Jags Host 49ers In London and other NFL Week 8 Picks

The streaking San Francisco 49ers and upstart Kansas City Chiefs will both look to extend their winning ways in their respective Week 8 NFL matchups while the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins square off in an AFC East battle between two teams looking to bounce back from heartbreaking losses in Week 7.

Get ready NFL fans…there are some great NFL Week 8 betting spreads to get your money on.

NFL Week 8 Picks

San Francisco at Jacksonville
The San Francisco 49ers are 17 point favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars in London.
Starts: 10/27/2013 1:00PM
Wembley Stadium
London
UK

 

The San Francisco 49ers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) have won four straight games, including their 31-17 Week 7 win over Tennessee in which they covered the spread as a 3.5-point road favorite to move to 4-0 ATS over the last four games.

The winless Jacksonville Jaguars (0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS) are an absolute mess and looked as inept as ever in falling to San Diego 24-6 as a 7.5-point home underdog in their Week 7 clash.

Analysis: Now let’s be for real NFL gridiron gamblers and get right to the point. We all know the Jaguars are not going to win this contest outright, making whether or not the Niners cover the high point spread the only issue in this contest.

Frisco averages 15.2 points per game more than Jacksonville while simultaneously allowing 12.2 fewer points per game defensively. This whopping 27.4-point scoring differential is more than enough for Frisco to cover the 17-point spread in this Week 8 mismatch.

More importantly, the Niners have compiled a blistering 22-7-1 ATS mark in their last 30 games on grass while Jacksonville has gone 1-7 ATS in its last eight games overall and an identical 1-7 ATS in its L/8 games following an SU loss of more than 14 points.

Colin Kaepernick has tossed five TD passes and just one pick over the last four games and the Niners are getting back to their power-based rushing attack, having given Frank Gore at least 20 carries in three of their last four games.

The Niners are 8-1-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of more than eight points. Frisco wins and covers the spread by controlling the clock – and shutting down Chad Henne and the Jaguars’ pitiful offense.

The Pick: San Francisco -17 Points

Cleveland at Kansas City
The Kansas City Chiefs are 7 point favorites over the Cleveland Browns for week 8.
Starts: 10/27/2013 1:00PM
Arrowhead Stadium, One Arrowhead Drive
Kansas City, Kansas

 

The Cleveland Browns (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) have dropped two straight games, including the humbling 31-13 loss they suffered at the hands of the Green Bay Packers the last time out. The Browns failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point road dog to fall to 0-2 ATS over their last two games.

The Kansas City Chiefs (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) remained unbeaten by squeaking past Houston in its narrow 17-16 win on Sunday, but failed to cash in against the NFL betting line as a 7-point home favorite to snap its bankroll-boosting four-game ATS winning streak.

Analysis: I really thought the Browns were improving this season after seeing them rip off three straight wins a couple of weeks back, but now, they look like the same old Browns to me.

Cleveland is struggling to move the ball badly and gained just 83 rushing yards against Green Bay while seeing quarterback Brandon Weeden pass for just 142 yards. Unfortunately, the Browns’ offensive struggles will play right into the hands of the Chiefs powerful defense in this contest.

Kansas City has not allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and I suspect that is a figure they’ll hold the offensively-challenged Browns to as well. The Chiefs should be able to top the 25-point plateau which would allow them to cover the spread in this Week 8 matchup.

Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games while Kansas City has posted polar-opposite 4-1 ATS mark in their last five games while also going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in the month of October.

The Pick: Kansas City -7 Points

Miami at New England
The New England Patriots are 4.5 favorites over their AFC East rivals, the Miami Dolphins.
Starts: 10/27/2013 1:00PM
Gillette Stadium, One Patriot Place Foxborough
Boston, Massachusetts

 

The Miami Dolphins (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) are reeling, having lost three straight games including a crushing 23-21 Week 7 loss to AFC East rival Buffalo . The Fins fell to 0-3 ATS over their last three by failing to cash in as a 6-point home favorite.

The New England Patriots (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) suffered their second loss in three weeks by falling to the Jets 30- 27 in overtime in absolutely stunning fashion. Tom Brady and company failed to cover the spread as a 3.5-point road favorite.

Analysis: I know the Miami Dolphins are absolutely desperate heading into this huge AFC East divisional battle, but the fact of the matter is that Miami is still rebuilding – and mostly mediocre – this season.

Yes, the New England Patriots are not the powerhouse team they once were, but they’re still better than Miami , especially at the quarterback position. If you saw Ryan Tannehill last week, you should already know that Bill Belichick is going to give the second-year signal-caller fits with his defensive schemes.

New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 home games against Miami but just 5-5 ATS during the span. Nevertheless, with the Pats coming off a loss and Tannehill looking clueless at best last weekend, I like the Pats to win and cash in with room to spare.

The Pats have won four straight at home against the Fins and are 2-1 ATS in their last three home dates against Miami while the Fins have compiled a discouraging 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven road games.

The Pick: New England -4.5 Points

Posted in NFL