The Kansas City Chiefs will try to avoid a third loss in a row when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium, this Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. The NFL odds have the Bengals as 4-point home favorites to beat the Chiefs.
While the Bengals have risen to the top of the North as one of the AFC’s three unbeaten teams, the Chiefs have drifted to the bottom of the West. Will Cincinnati keep winning? Can Kansas City right the ship? Will we see Red Rifle Andy Dalton or the red-headed stepchild Andy Dalton? Should you bet on Kansas City or back Cincinnati in their week 4 tilt? Answers to those questions and more await the bold. Happy Hunting!
Three QBs this year have thrown at least 8 TD passes and 1 or fewer picks: Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, and Andy Dalton
— trey wingo (@wingoz) October 2, 2015
An In-Depth Look At The Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 4 Betting Preview
What: Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-0)
When: Sunday, October, 4, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Cincinnati, OH
Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium
Weather: 62°F / Light Rain
Spread: Bengals -4
Moneyline: Kansas City +170 vs Cincinnati -200
Game Total: 44
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Kansas City vs Cincinnati
If You Are Betting On The Kansas City Chiefs (+4)
Kansas City is 1-2 straight up and against the spread so far in 2015. Last week they lost to the juggernaut known as Packers by a 38-28 score. The Chiefs’ secondary has had a hard time defending the pass, which makes their trip to Cincinnati to face the Red Rifle ominous.
The Chiefs average 26.3 points (8th), 217.0 passing yards (25th), 106.3 rushing yards (29th) per game. KC entered the season with what they believed would be their best roster and best team since Reid arrived in 2013, and they’re 1-2.
QB Alex Smith has completed 63.3% of his passes for 724 yards, 4 TDs & 3 INTs so far in 2015. The bright spot for Smith? He finally completed a TD pass to a WR, giving the Chiefs their first regular-season touchdown from a wide receiver since Dec. 29, 2013. The lucky pass catcher was new-comer Jeremy Maclin (17 rec, 250 yards, 1 TD). TE Travis Kelce (16 rec, 244 yards, 2 TDs) has been a revelation for the Chiefs with his smash-mouth style of play.
But its RB Jamaal Charles (48 att, 231 yards, 4 TDs) who is the top threat in this offense. He is on pace for over 1,200 yards and tied for the NFL lead with four rushing touchdowns.
Kansas City’s defense gives up 29.7 points (29th), 101.9 passing yards (28th) and 94.0 rushing yards per game (14th) per game. Jaye Howard leads the Chiefs with 20 tackles, Justin Houston has three sacks and Marcus Peters has seven pass deflections.
If You Are Betting On The Cincinnati Bengals (-4)
Cincinnati is 3-0 straight up and against the spread so far this season. Last week they beat the Ravens in Baltimore by a 28-24 score. The Bengal have stranglehold on the AFC North crown.
The Bengals offense averages 28.3 points (7th), 285.0 passing yards (6th), and 106.3 rushing yards (14th) per game.
Andy Dalton has been putting up some mind-numbing numbers so far this season. He has thrown for 866 yards, 8 TDs & 1 INT while completing 66.3% of his passes. He threw for 383 yards and three TDs in last Sunday’s 28-24 win at Baltimore, 227 and two of which went to A.J. Green.
Green (18 rec, 335 yards, 3 TDs) was named the AFC player of the week after his highlight reel game. The emergence of WR Mavin Jones (9 rec, 161 yards, 2 TDs) has given Dalton the second reliable target the team has been lacking over the past few years.
The Bengals running game is a one two punch with RB Gio Bernard (41 att, 235 yards, 0 TDs) and Jeremy Hill (41 att, 123 yards, 2 TDs). While Hill is the starter, his early season fumbling issues and lack of production have led him to the bench. Last week, the snap count was lopsided in Bernard’s favor by 66 to 34 percent margin. But it was and almost even split of carries with Bernard at 13 and Hill with 12. Bernard also caught three passes on the day.
Cincinnati’s defense allows 18.7 points (7th), 285.0 passing yards (6th) and 129.3 rushing yards per game (8th). Adam Jones leads the Bengals with 25 tackles, Carlos Dunlap has 2.5 sacks and Cedric Peerman has two forced fumbles.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Kansas City Chiefs 1-2 All Games this season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-0 All Games this season
- Kansas City Chiefs 6-4 On Road since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 5-4 At Home since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 6-3 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 4-6 As Favorite since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 3-2 When Line was 42.5 to 45.5 since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-2 When Line was 42.5 to 45.5 since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 3-0 O-U All Games this season
- Cincinnati Bengals 2-1 O-U All Games this season
- Kansas City Chiefs 4-6 O-U On Road since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 5-4 O-U At Home since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 5-7 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 4-5 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 5-6 O-U When Line was 42.5 to 45.5 since last season
— Kansas City Chiefs (@chiefs) September 30, 2015
The Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4, 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
The Bengals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite, 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. win, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 4, 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
My NFL Week 4 Betting Pick: Bengals -4
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Kansas City: Sean Smith.
- Cincinnati: Vontaze Burfict, Sean Porter