Bill Belichick is taking the Patriots into Nashville to face former acolyte Mike Vrabel who now coaches the Titans. Week 10’s NFL line favors New England by 6.5-points. If you are betting home dog Tennessee straight-up, then the Titans pay +240. The game total is 47-points for over/under bets.
Now let’s take a closer look at how you should bet this AFC East vs. AFC South tilt.
Line & Smart Betting Pick Patriots vs. Titans NFL Week 10
What: NFL Week 10
Who: New England vs. Tennessee Titans
Where: Nissan Stadium, 1 Titans Way, Nashville, TN 37213
When: 1 PM ET, Sunday, November 11
Stream: CBS Sports
Spread: Patriots -6½
Moneyline: NE -280/Ten +240
Are the Patriots a smart bet over the Titans?
The Patriots are 7-2 straight up overall and 2-2 SU on the road so far this season. Moreover, New England is 6-3 against the spread overall and 2-2 ATS away from Foxboro. Plus when the Patriots are favored by 6+ points they are 8-2 SU and ATS.
There’s more if that doesn’t convince you that the Patriots are a smart bet to beat the Titans. In the last five head-to-head meetings between the two, New England is 5-0 SU and ATS and the margin of victory in those five games is 29-points. The Patriots scored at least 33 points in each of those five games.
Are the Titans a smart bet over the Patriots?
The Titans haven’t had any luck against the Patriots. This weekend Tennessee will have an inside edge. Head coach Mike Vrabel was a linebacker in New England for eight seasons. He played for Bill Belichick and with Tom Brady from 2001 to 2008. How much of an edge will his inside knowledge of the Patriots inner workings provide for the Titans is questionable.
Tennessee is 4-4 overall and 2-1 at home so far this season. The Titans have been profitable for spread bettors going 5-3 ATS overall and 2-1 ATS at home.
Smart Betting Pick Patriots vs. Titans NFL Week 10
The Titans allow the fewest points in the league at 17.6. Can Tennessee slow down Brady while scoring enough points to win?
The only sure way of beating Tom Brady is making sure he is on the sideline. The Patriots’ four worst games on offense in terms of yardage gained were their four road games. The Titans will have to control the time of possession and avoid fumbling any red zone opportunities to win this game.