London Calling In NFL Week 4 Betting Picks

NFL Detroit Lions Reggie Bush

London Calling In NFL Week 4 Betting Picks

Since 1990, 60 teams with a losing record after 3 games have gone on to make to the playoffs. I have five of those teams line up on my NFL Betting Picks for Week 4.  Will they turn their fortune around this week? Let’s find out.

Baltimore Ravens (2-1 ATS) at Buffalo Bills (2-1 ATS)

What are the Odds for the Game? Ravens -3 and Game Total: 44.
When will it be play? Sunday 1 PM ET
Where? Ralph Wilson Stadium
Which TV will broadcast it? CBS

The Ravens are the best team of these two but they have been hit hard by a change in personnel and a heavy dose of a Super Bowl hangover.

They were beat by the Broncos in Denver on their season opener.  Then they slid past the Cleveland Browns at home.  Finally last week, the Ravens were heavily outplayed by the Houston Texans but pulled out a W in the end.  And that is without even talking about Stripper-gate.

The Ravens will take on the upstart Buffalo Bills in Week 4.  This is a young team that has potential to be a contender, but it won’t be this year.  Their 19th ranked pass defense shouldn’t give QB Joe Flacco any problems and rookie QB EJ Manuel will have to contend with a Baltimore D that needs to prove that their success didn’t leave with LB Ray Lewis and safety Ed Reed. 

The Baltimore Sun reported RB Ray Rice is close of returning to the field after missing week three with a strained left hip flexor; Rice along with fellow tailback Bernard Pierce should carry this team against the third worst run defensive in the NFL.

What are the Betting Trends for the Ravens and the Bills?

  • Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Buffalo
  • Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

NFL Betting Pick: Bet heavy on the Ravens at -3.

Chicago Bears (1-1-1 ATS) at Detroit Lions (2-1 ATS)

What are the Odds for the Game? Lions -3 and Game Total: 47.
When will it be play? Sunday 1 PM ET
Where? Ford Field
Which TV will broadcast it? FOX

Detroit is a hot mess this year.  Last year’s starting RB Mikel Leshoure hasn’t seen any action.  Their #2 WR Nate Burleson broke his arm in 2 places in pizza related single car accident. The Lions have confirmed that they are actively accepting trade requests for the WR.  Finally there’s RB Reggie Bush would can put the Lions at a Super Bowl contending status only if he can stay healthy.

Bush thinks he’s ready to play on Sunday, but head coach Jim Schwartz has not come to confirm or deny the news.

Even with Bush and RB Joique Bell haven’t set the rushing stat sheets on fire, but are catching a ton of passes and putting up big yardage by catching the call coming out of the backfield..

The Bears have won nine of the last 10 against the Lions, although they 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit. This is only the third time since 2005 where the Bears enter a game against the Lions as an underdog.

What are the Betting Trends for the Bears and the Lions?

  • Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Chicago is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago’s last 8 games on the road
  • Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
  • Chicago is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
  • Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
  • Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
  • Detroit is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
  • Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

NFL Betting Pick: Bears +3.

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-3 ATS) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2 ATS)

What are the Odds for the Game? Steelers -1.5 and Game Total: 42.
When will it be play? Sunday 1 PM ET
Where? Wembley Stadium (London)
Which TV will broadcast it? CBS

One of the two winless teams will come back from London with their first win.  Granted no one would of imaged any of these two teams would be winless going into week 4 at the beginning of the season.

You might be thinking the NFL sending two win-less teams, as the yearly “show-off” game in London would be a mistake.  I would disagree.  Both of these teams now feel the urgency of winning this game and will make this game even more competitive.

The Steelers aging defense and stunted run game leaves this team a shadow of its former self.

The Steelers run game is ranked at a depressing 31st with 51.7 yards per game this season.  Their entire running back core have only rushed for 155 yards total in three games combined and Vikings stud RB Adrian Peterson has 281 yards alone.

Rookie running back Le’Veon Bell could change that if he plays in Week 4, but star quarterback Ben Roethlisberger doesn’t seem to be convinced.

 “Honestly, I have no idea with him. You can’t get a read on him. One day, he’s practicing, one day, he’s not; one day, he’s going hard, the next day, he’s not. I wish I could”, Roethlisberger said to Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.

The NFL betting odds makers have the Steelers as 1.5-point favorites because of Viking QB Christian Ponder’s sore ribs.  He is a question mark to play this Sunday.

Expect Steeler defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau’s defense to show and execute exotic blitzes to target AP in the Minnesota backfield.  This game will be decided by how long the Vikings offensive line will be able to hold before Peterson can hit the hole.

What are the Betting Trends for the Steelers and the Vikings?

  • Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games when playing Minnesota
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
  • Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games

NFL Betting Pick: Vikings +1.

Arizona Cardinals (2-1 ATS) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3 ATS)

What are the Odds for the Game? Buccaneers -3 and Game Total: 40.5.
When will it be play? Sunday 1 PM ET
Where? Raymond James Stadium
Which TV will broadcast it? FOX

Pro Football Focus revealed QB Josh Freeman has the lowest adjusted accuracy percentage from the entire NFL quarterbacks that have played this season. Head Coach Greg Schiano probably read that tweet and decided to bench Freeman for the game against the Cardinals.

Mike Glennon, a third round rookie from QB from North Carolina State will replace him.

You would think this roster move might be worth a point in the NFL lines, or at least half a point, well it doesn’t; the oddsmakers have not adjusted the point spread.

I’m not putting my money on a rookie quarterback, who wasn’t probably expecting to play this early in  the season.

What are the Betting Trends for the Cardinals and the Buccaneers?

  • Arizona is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona’s last 18 games on the road
  • Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
  • Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
  • Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

NFL Betting Pick: Cards +3.