Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers Odds: Point-Spread & Total

Baltimore Vs Pittsburgh Odds, TV Info & Betting Analysis

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers Odds: Point-Spread & Total

The 11-5 Pittsburgh Steelers will try to extend their winning streak to eight when they host the 10-6  Miami Dolphins this Sunday. This week’s NFL Wild Card Miami Vs Pittsburgh betting spread favors the Steelers by 10-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, January 8th at 1:05 PM ET on CBS from the Heinz Field, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. 

These two met back in October and the game did not end well for Steeler Nation. The Dolphins knocked Big Ben out for a few weeks and Pitt defense allowed rusher Jay Ajayi to run for 200+ yards. The Steelers lost 30-15.

The Steelers won the AFC North after reeling off seven straight wins following the four-game skid surround Big Ben’s aforementioned knee injury, going 5-1-1 against the spread during that stretch. Since beating Pittsburgh in October, the Dolphins have lost just twice, winning eight.

Miami Dolphins Vs Pittsburgh Steelers Point-Spread, Total & ATS Pick

What: Miami Dolphins (10-6) at Pittsburg Steelers (11-5)
When: Sunday, January 8, 2016
Start Time: 1:05 PM ET  
Where: Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium: Heinz Field
Spread: Steelers -10
Moneyline: Miami +360 vs Pittsburgh -480
Game Total: 47
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Miami vs Pittsburgh

Why Bet The Miami Dolphins To Beat The Steelers

The Miami Dolphins won three of the last four games to finish the season with a 10-6 SU and 9-6-1 ATS record. They average 22.7 points per game (17th) and give up 23.8 points per game (18th).

"It’s another level. They’ll know it," head coach Adam Gase said about his team. "They’ll know it when they hit the field. Trust me."

The Dolphins averages 218.8 passing yards per game (26th). QB Matt Moore (721 yards, 8 TDs & 3 INTs) will start his first playoff game. WR Jarvis Landry (94 rec, 1136 yards, 4 TDs) had a career year with the Dolphins and is a threat after the catch. WR Kenny Stills (42 rec, 726 yards, 9 TDs) lead the team in touchdown receptions and loves catching the long ball. Miami averages 114.0 rushing yards per game (9th). RB Jay Ajayi (260 car, 1272 yards, 8 TDs) had three 200-yards games this season. One of them was against the Steelers.

Miami has the 29th-ranked total defense in the NFL. The Dolphins allow 242.0 passing yards per game (15th) and 140.4 rushing yards per game (30th). They have sacked opposing quarterbacks 33 times this season (19th). LB Kiko Alonso leads the team with 115 tackles, and DE Cameron Wake has 11.5 sacks.

Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers To Beat The Dolphins

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 11-5 SU and 9-6-1 ATS this season. They average 24.8 points per game (11th) and allow 20.4 points per game (10th). This is the most healthy and rested the Steelers have been since the pre-season.

The Steelers average 262.6 passing yards per game (5th). QB Ben Roethlisberger (3819 yards, 29 TDs & 13 INTs) is making his 18th career playoff start. He has an 11-6 postseason record with two Super Bowl victories.

Slowing down WR Antonio Brown (106 rec, 1284 yards, 12 TDs) will be a challenge for a Dolphins’ defense that ranked just 29th in total defense at 382.6 yards per game. Miami gave up more than 30 points in three of its final five regular-season games.

Pittsburgh averages 110.0 rushing yards per game (14th). RB Le’Veon Bell (261 car, 1268 yards, 7 TDs) is a fourth-year pro and rushed for 1,268 yards and had 616 receiving yards in just 12 games this season. But injury issues led him to miss all three of Pittsburgh’s playoff games during his standout career. Last season the Steelers were eliminated from the postseason by the eventual Super Bowl champion Broncos without Bell or Brown on the field. This year both are rested and healthy.

"To be able to get ready for the playoffs, to be able to sit out a week and be healthy — our circumstances will not change," Brown said about the team’s Super Bowl goals.

Pittsburgh has the 12th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They give up 243.0 passing yards per game (16th) and 100.0 rushing yards per game (13th). The Steelers have recorded 38 sacks this season (9th). LB Lawrence Timmons has 114 tackles, and the ageless wonder James Harrison has 5.0 sacks.

If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:

  • Miami is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
  • Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone over in three of the Dolphins’ last four games against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers are 7-0 straight up and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
  • The total has gone over in the Dolphins’ last six games.

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

This is the Steelers game to lose. Big Ben, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell won’t be stopped in this game. Miami’s only prayer is to try to outscore Pittsburgh, but with a backup QB making his first career playoff start won’t get it done.

My final score prediction is Miami 16, Pittsburgh 28.