The Miami Dolphins are currently in the postseason picture but can’t afford a loss as they visit the Buffalo Bills this Saturday. The Week 16 Miami versus Buffalo NFL line favors the Bills by 3.5-points. Kick-off is this Saturday, December 24th at 1:00 PM ET on ESPN from the New Era Field in Buffalo, New York.
Miami Dolphins Vs Buffalo Bills Line & Pick
What: Miami Dolphins (9-5) at Buffalo Bills (7-7)
When: Saturday, December 24, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: New Era Field
Spread: Bills -3.5
Moneyline: Miami +165 vs Buffalo -190
Game Total: 42
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Miami vs Buffalo
Why Bet The Miami Dolphins To Beat The Bills
The Miami Dolphins are in the 6th seed in the AFC with a 9-5 SU record and 8-5-1 ATS this season. They beat the NY Jets 34-13 last week. They average 22.5 points per game (16th) and allow 22.4 points per game (14th).
The Dolphins average 218.7 passing yards per game (27th). QB Matt Moore (283 yards, 4 TDs & 1 INTs) completed 12 of 18 passes for 236 yards in his first start this season. The torched the Jets defense throwing for four touchdowns and one interception.
"He did a good job staying with what we talked about all week," Dolphins head coach Adam Gase said of Moore. "They did do some things that surprised us a little bit. They were a little more aggressive on third down than I think we anticipated, but we took advantage of it.”
WR Jarvis Landry (82 rec, 1031 yards, 3 TDs) had quite a game against New York. He recorded three receptions for 108 yards and one touchdown. Miami averages 106.3 rushing yards per game (16th). RB Jay Ajayi (212 car, 1007 yards, 7 TDs) already surpassed the 1000-yard mark despite not being the starter at the start of this season.
Miami has the 24th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 234.0 passing yards per game (11th) and give up 132.5 rushing yards per game (30th). They have recorded 31 sacks this season (14th). Kiko Alonso has 103 tackles, and Cameron Wake has 10.5 sacks.
Why Bet The Buffalo Bills To Beat The Dolphins
The Buffalo Bills kept their slim playoff dreams alive last week. Buffalo is 7-7 SU and 6-7-1 ATS after beating the Cleveland Browns 33-13. They average 25.6 points per game (9th) and allow 22.4 points per game (14th).
"Here’s what we all have in common, everybody in here: Nobody knows what my future is," head coach Rex Ryan said. "I just prepare the team to the best of my ability and that’s what I’m going to do. … How much chance [at the playoffs] we got left, I don’t know, but we still got somewhat of a chance — a puncher’s chance, I believe. So we’re going to take our swings."
The Bills average 182.6 passing yards per game (31st). QB Tyrod Taylor (2694 yards, 14 TDs & 6 INTs) completed 17 of 24 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown against the Browns. TE Charles Clay was the key guy in the passing game last week. He had seven catches for 72 yards and a touchdown. Buffalo averages 163.6 rushing yards per game (1st). RB LeSean McCoy had a field day against the Browns. McCoy recorded 153 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries against Cleveland.
Buffalo has the 16th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 225.0 passing yards per game (8th) and 124.4 rushing yards per game (27th). The Bills have recorded 38 sacks this season (3rd). Zach Brown has 130 tackles and Lorenzo Alexander has 11.5 sacks.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:
- Miami is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games
- Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
- Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
- Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
- Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
- Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
Miami has struggled at stopping the run at times this season. With Shady McCoy, Buffalo can run the ball. On the other hand, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Buffalo bumble its way to a loss to the Dolphins and seal Rex Ryan’s fate.
My final score prediction is Miami 24, Buffalo 27.