Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills Expert Week 7 Betting PicksJosh Bailey
The Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills will both be looking to bounce back from their respective Week 6 losses when they square off on Sunday live from Ralph Wilson Stadium.
Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 19, 2014
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Buffalo -6
Minnesota (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) got starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater back for their Week 6 matchup against Detroit, but saw the rookie signal-caller struggle mightily in the Vikings 17-3 Week 6 loss to NFC North division rival Detroit.
Bridgewater completed 23 of 37 passes for 188 yards while tossing three costly interceptions in the loss.
"You’re not just going to go out there and be perfect," said Bridgewater, who will make his first road start against the Bills. "There’s some throws that you’re not going to be able to control and there will be things that happen throughout the course of a game that you won’t be able to control.
"But at the same time, for me, it was an eye-opener. After my performance against Atlanta, I believe the expectation level is high. But I have a high expectation level for myself also."
Bridgewater has not thrown a single touchdown pass so far, but head coach Mike Zimmer said he’s not worried at all.
"I believe, with all my heart, that Teddy Bridgewater is going to be the franchise quarterback here for a long, long time," Zimmer said Monday. "I believe that the team believes that, too."
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) October 15, 2014
Buffalo (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) was man-handled in their 37-22 Week 6 loss to New England as a 1-point home favorite. The Bills benched second-year quarterback E.J. Manuel after the former Florida State star proved to be ineffective throwing the ball. Since naming veteran Kyle Orton the new starter, Buffalo has gone 1-1 in two games.
Orton threw for 299 yards and two touchdowns in Buffalo’s loss to New England while turning the ball over twice.
"Sometimes we can’t stay out of our own way," Orton said following the loss. "It’s tough to beat a good team doing that."
Orton has averaged 303.5 passing yards over his two starts, but will face a Vikings defense that is sixth in pass defense (213.8 ypg). Unheralded safety Harrison Smith is tied for the NFL lead with three interceptions. Buffalo has scored a miniscule 11 touchdowns over six games, fifth fewest in the league.
"It’s not one individual," coach Doug Marrone said. "It’s easy when it’s one individual. You just put one out and put somebody else in. But it’s up front, it’s hitting the holes, it’s believing and trusting the scheme."
"Turnovers and penalties," veteran running back Fred Jackson said. "When you kill yourselves on drives like that it’s going to be hard to get anything going."
Fred Jackson: "If there's one yard out there, we have to get three. That's the challenge." pic.twitter.com/c0Wg9ycB7m
— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) October 15, 2014
I like the Minnesota Vikings to find a way to cover the spread in this contest, which, to me, looks like a classic, three-point field goal game.
The Vikes are just 1-4 ATS over their last five games, but Buffalo hasn’t been any better in going 1-3 ATS over their last four.
The Vikings are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an SU loss while the Bills have posted a pitiful 0-8 ATS mark in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home.
I like the Vikings to cover the spread in a tightly contested ballgame.
My Pick: Minnesota +6 Points