NFL Week 15 Betting Pick - Arizona Vs St. Louis

Monday Night Football Odds & Picks Are Virtual Lock Alert as Rams Host Niners!

If you’re ready for some Monday Night Football odds and picks, then you should know the Week 6 NFC West division battle between the San Francisco 49ers and St. Louis Rams is a virtual lock alert pick in my expert estimation.

San Francisco at St. Louis
When: Monday, Oct. 13
Kickoff: 8:30 PM ET
Spread: San Francisco -4
Total: 43.5

The San Francisco 49ers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) have won two straight games in an old-school, grind-it-out fashion, including their narrow 22-17 Week 5 win over former franchise quarterback Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs to cash in as a 4.5-point home favorite.

The St. Louis Rams (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) have dropped two consecutive games, including their heartbreaking 34-28 Week 5 loss to Philadelphia as a 3.5-point home dog, though they did get a fantastic performance from unheralded quarterback Austin Davis in the loss.

Several factors surround both of these longtime NFC West division rivals leads me to believe the outcome of this contest is more of a lock than anything else.

San Francisco won both regular season meetings against St. Louis last season and have won four of the last six meetings against the Rams overall, though they did play to a strange 24-all tie in Frisco in 2012.

I really San Francisco to win huge in this game mostly because head coach Jim Harbaugh and the rest of his experienced team knows they can not afford a division loss to a banged-up and lesser team like the Rams.

Not only that, but with recent reports that say Harbaugh has lost control of his team, I expect Frisco to come out with an even greater focus as they likely bury the Rams by halftime.

Team CEO Jed York took to Twitter prior to San Francisco’s 22-17 win over Kansas City on Sunday.

"Jim is my coach," York posted. "We are trying to win a SB (Super Bowl), not a personality or popularity contest. Any more questions?"

York and Harbaugh met Monday to talk about the direction of a franchise that has played in three straight NFC championship games.

"Everybody in the organization is doing their job, everybody is working hard at the craft of helping us be the best we can possibly be as a football team, and that’s all you can ask of anybody," said Harbaugh, who is in the fourth season of a five-year, $25 million, contract.

"They’re doing their best, and nobody appreciates that like I do.

"It’s an enjoyable team to be around. The way they play, the way they fight, the way they play together."

Starting quarterback Colin Kaepernick reiterated the words of his GM.

"I love Coach Harbaugh. I’d go to war with him any day of the week," said Kaepernick, who has thrown four touchdowns and one interception in the last three games. "He’s a competitor, he wants to win and he’s going to do anything to put this team in a position to win."

Harbaugh believes the latest controversy comes with the territory of being a consistent winner.

"The football team has done good," he said. "And the better you do and the more you do, the more people try to trip you up.

"My destiny lies between these walls with these men."

St. Louis is ranked a surprising sixth in passing (283.5 ypg) but just 22nd in scoring (21.0 ppg). Defensively, St. Louis is ranked 30th against the run (152.5 ypg) and an identical 30th in points allowed, giving up a whopping 29.8 points per game.

Surprisingly however, the Rams may have found a gem of a quarterback in the previously unheralded Davis who began the season third on the St. Louis depth chart.

Davis completed 29 of 49 passes against Philadelphia in Sunday’s close, 34-28 loss while throwing three TD passes and no interceptions.

"I think we’re a good football team," said Davis who has thrown six TDs and just two picks in the last two games. "The record is what it is, but we’re just a handful of plays away."

San Francisco has gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record while the Rams have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and a dismal 1-5 ATS in their last six games against their NFC West division rivals.

I fully expect San Francisco’s perennially strong defensive unit to get after Davis and force him into a couple of costly turnovers that help fuel a huge, double-digit win for the Niners.

My Pick: San Francisco 31 St. Louis 14

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