NFL Moneyline Picks – Green Bay Visits Detroit in Week 3 NFC North BattleJosh Bailey
The Detroit Lions will look to get back in the win column while simultaneously keeping the Green Bay Packers from recording consecutive victories when the two teams renew their longstanding NFC North divisional rivalry.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 19, 2014
Both title hopefuls are looking for consistency after splitting their first two games respectively.
Green Bay at Detroit
Time: 1:00 PM
Spread: Detroit -2
Week 3 NFC North NFL Moneyline Picks – Green Bay Vs Detroit
Preview: Detroit (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) pounded the Giants 35-14 in Week 1 to cash in as a 6.5-point home favorite, but the Lions couldn’t build on that victory as they fell to Carolina 24-7 in Week 2 as a 1-point road underdog.
Starting quarterback Matthew Stafford completed 27 of 48 passes for 291 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the loss. The Lions committed three turnovers and rookie place kicker Nate Freese missed two field-goal attempts.
"What you have to make certain of is that everybody needs to understand that this only counts as one game. This team is not 0-12, or anything of that nature, so there’s some balance to it," first-year coach Jim Caldwell said.
Detroit ranks fourth in passing, but just 23 in scoring (21.0 ppg) offensively, but they rank second in total defense, second against the run and 11th in points allowed (19.0).
Caldwell went on to say that his team isn’t about to panic after one loss.
"Just like last week there weren’t a bunch of guys hollering about the win, they were level-headed and I believe they will handle the loss the exact same way. We will be level-headed, get our corrections made, focus on our next opponent and move forward."
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 19, 2014
Green Bay (1-1 SU,0-1-1 ATS) got soundly spanked in its 36-16 season-opening loss at Seattle as a 4.5-point road dog, but bounced back nicely to beat the Jets 31-24 last Sunday as a 7-point home favorite.
The Packers got a fantastic performance from quarterback Aaron Rodgers as the perennial Pro Bowler completed 25 of 42 passes for 346 yards and three touchdowns.
Rodgers found veteran wide receiver Jordy Nelson nine times for a career-high 209 yards. The pair hooked up for a highlight-reel-making 80-yard touchdown with 2:08 left in the third quarter that put Green Bay up for good.
"Well, pretty impressive. Take it for granted sometimes. He’s not a big `me’ guy … so he kind of gets overlooked sometimes," Rodgers said of Nelson. "We know the kind of player he is."
Nelson’s 209 receiving yards were the most by a Packer since Don Beebe racked up a whopping 220 yards back in 1996.
"Jordy, you always see him making some big plays. He is definitely their big-play guy," Johnson told the Packers’ official website. "He’s a guy we’ve got to be able to contain come Sunday; you know, not let him get the ball and run with it and find seams to make bigger plays after he catches it."
Analysis: I’m going on record right now to say that I think this Week 3 affair is going to be an absolute shootout that almost assuredly plays over the game’s 52-point O/U Total.
The Over is 4-0 in Green Bay’s last four road games and 6-0 in their last six games in the month of September.
The Over is also 5-1 in the Packers last six games overall and 4-1 in their last five games against their NFC North division rivals. Last but not least, the Over is 7-3 in Detroit’s last 10 home games.
In addition to a pick for the Over, I also like the Packers to win this game outright and take another step toward what I believe will be a division title this season.
The Packers have won a whopping 23 of the last 27 meetings against Detroit while compiling a consistent 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games against their division rivals.
The Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their NFC conference rivals and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an SU loss.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings against the Lions and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against Detroit.