Week 4 of NFL action has a bevy of great games. If you are looking for games that have high upset value, I have a trio of moneyline upset picks for NFL week 4 action.
Moneyline Upset Picks NFL Week 4
Cleveland Browns +130 at Oakland Raiders -150
When: Sunday, Sep. 30 at 4:05 pm ET
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA
Analysis: Oakland hosts Cleveland as a 0-3 loser that hasn’t yet shown it can beat any team in the NFL. If this game took place last season, the Raiders would be a slam dunk. A lot can change, though, which is why Cleveland probably should be no worse than -2 dogs against the spread.
Behind a magical NFL debut performance by quarterback Baker Mayfield, the Browns rallied to beat the New York Jets 21-17 in Week 3. Mayfield looked every bit the star quarterback that won last season’s Heisman Trophy. Now he will start his first NFL regular season game and I am on Team Baker!
Moneyline Upset Pick: Cleveland +130
Philadelphia Eagles -205 at Tennessee Titans +173
When: Sunday, Sep. 30 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Analysis: Philly starting quarterback Carson Wentz looked good in the Eagles’ 20-16 win over the Indianapolis Colts. Things become much tougher for the Eagles in Week 4, though.
Tennessee shut down a good Jacksonville defense in a 9-6 win. The Titans brought Marcus Mariota off the bench after Blaine Gabbert suffered an injury. Mariota performed well when completing 12 of 18 for 100 yards.
Although it’s tough to rush against the Eagles’ defense, you can pass against Philly’s D. Mariota should start this week because Gabbert’s in the concussion protocol. I believe Mariota does enough for the straight up Tennessee win.
Moneyline Upset Pick: Tennessee +173
Kansas City Chiefs -210 at Denver Broncos +175
When: Monday, Oct. 1 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, CO
Analysis: On paper, it looks like Kansas City should beat Denver by at least 10 points. We play football on fields not on paper, though.
The Broncos couldn’t score with Baltimore’s offense in Week 3 because the Ravens’ defense is solid on all 3-levels. Kansas City’s isn’t solid on any level because it allows 367 passing yards per game. That ranks 31st of 32 teams in the NFL.
Denver will shut down KC’s rushing attack. Then, when Kansas City tries to throw the football, Denver will blitz Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
The Broncos will beat the Chiefs straight up on Monday night.
Moneyline Upset Pick: Denver +175