My Winning NFL Week 12 Lock Picks

New England Patriots at NY Giants Spread, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

My Winning NFL Week 12 Lock Picks

You may think that my NFL week 12 lock picks are obvious but in an age of unprecedented parity in the NFL picking absolute lock picks is difficult, but not impossible. With so many teams still in the hunt for a playoff spot every matchup will be competitive. Click here for more NFL betting odds.

The struggling NY Jets, Washington Redskins and NY Giants clash against the Buffalo Bills, San Francisco 49ers, and Dallas Cowboys, respectively

Analyzing My NFL Week 12 Lock Picks

Matchup: NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills
Date: Sunday, Nov. 23
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Buffalo, NY 
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: Jets Vs Bills
Point Spread: Bills -4.5
Game Total: 40

The New York Jets had a bye last week but they are coming off a convincing win over the Steelers. The bad news, it was just their second win of the season. The Jets offense has been pathetic averaging just 17.4 points and 319.4 yards per game both of which rank near the worst in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills are an average team, but they are in the hunt for one of the postseason spots but lost against Miami on Thursday Night Football last week, I think they don’t have another choice but to bounce back strong.

With more than 4 feet of snow dumped on the area around Ralph Wilson Stadium by Wednesday morning, this game will be fun to watch. Officials report that 220,000 tons of snow needs to be removed. As of now, the game is scheduled to be played.

Currently, due to a driving ban in the city and surrounding areas, the players are unable to get to the practice field. Coach Doug Marrone said Wednesday that the coaches are video taping game plans and distributing them digitally.

Buffalo is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, 1-5 against the spread against the AFC, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games. New York is 2-5 against the spread against the AFC, 1-4-2 against the spread following a win, and 1-5-1 against the spread following a cover. The home team has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

NFL Week 12 Lock Pick: Bills -4.5.

Matchup: Washington vs San Francisco 49ers
Date: Sunday, Nov. 23
Start Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: Washington Vs 49ers
Point Spread: 49ers -8
Game Total: 44

I have the San Francisco 49ers as one my NFL Week 12 Lock Pick not because they are playing well, but because Washington is a team in turmoil

The fact that San Fran picked off NY Giants QB Eli Manning five times and only won by six points (16-10) last week shouldn’t scare you away from betting on the 49ers. Washington is horrible.

Washington lost 27-7 to a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that had one win all season. RGIII completed 23 of the 32 passes for 207 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs, and was sacked six times. Head coach Jay Gruden should consider benching RGIII and start Colt McCoy who looked strong in his only start this season.

Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Francisco, and the 49ers have covered the spread in the last two meetings.

NFL Week 12 Lock Pick: 49ers -8.

Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs NY Giants
Date: Sunday, Nov. 23
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Location:East Rutherford, NJ   
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
TV Info: NBC
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: Cowboys Vs NY Giants
Point Spread: Cowboys -3
Game Total: 49.5

The Dallas Cowboys really needed the bye week to get healthy after beating the Jacksonville Jaguars in London two weeks ago on the strength of Tony Romo’s arm.Workhorse RB DeMarco Murray explained it best.

The Cowboys already beat the Giants in week 7 with a 31-21 when RB DeMarco Murray ran for 128 yards and two short weeks ago, the Giants defense, worst in the NFL, allowed 350 rushing yards from the Seattle Seahawks. I expect a big day for Murray again.

The New York Giants have lost five straight and are pretty much done as far as playoffs are concerned, but this is a big rivalry game and both teams will want to win.

The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in November. The Giants are 19-45-2 ATS in their last 66 games in November and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

NFL Week 12 Lock Pick: Cowboys -3.