If you toss out last season’s meaningless week 17 tilt in which Bill Belichick rested Tom Brady and other Patriot starters, New England has bested Buffalo 21 out of the 22 games.
The last six Patriot victories in the series have come, on average, by 14.8 points.
Enter Rex Ryan. Every New Englander’s worst nightmare. The Patriot killer.
Now the Pats are a pick-’em at Buffalo!
Before You Bet Review My New England Patriots Vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 2 Betting Stats & Trends
What: New England Patriots (1-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 20th, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Weather: 65 °F/ Rain Early
Game Total: 45
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Buffalo
Rex Ryan has a love/hate relationship with Bill Belichick and the Patriots. He loves to play against them, but hates their very existence. He relishes the spotlight. He loves the game prep. He loves the media attention. Best of all he loves beating the Patriots. He gets his shot this week.
If the Bills can replicate their week 1 success, the Patriots will be in trouble. Ryan’s debut in Buffalo ended with a relatively one-sided win over Andrew Luck and the Colts. The Bills covered the 2.5-point spread as home underdogs. Buffalo scored the first 24 points in the meeting before the Colts put up any points. By then the game was over.
Bills' team store puts inflating pumps 'front and center' before Patriots game. http://t.co/rz01tgQz3I
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) September 18, 2015
Ryan knows the Patriots won’t be as easy to stop. New England opened the season under the cloud of Deflategate. They proceeded to beat the Steelers 28-21. That game was 10 days ago.
"We’re not going to ask one guy to cover him [Gronk]," Ryan told in press conference . "Yeah, he’d have to look like King Kong."
"Obviously you don’t just put one guy on this guy. That’s been proven," he added in a conference call with reporters covering the Patriots. "I will say this, it’s better to put one guy on him than nobody on him. We’ll try to have somebody on him, at least."
The Patriots are a pass first, second and third team. This week they will have to deal with the Bills stubborn, never ending pass rush. Even with the return of rusher Legarrette Blount, the Patriots win or lose with Tom Brady passing the ball to Rob Gronkowski.
Brady’s passer rating drops to 88.9 against against Rex Ryan powered defenses. Against every other NFL team in his long, illustrious career, his passer rating is a shiny 96.1.
"I think our record against him [Rex Ryan] has been OK," Belichick told the USA Today . "I’ll take it."
For the record, Rex Ryan is 4-9 against the Patriots as a New York Jets head coach, including a dreary 1-7 mark since 2011.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Buffalo Bills 10-7 All Games since last season
- Buffalo Bills 4-4 At Home since last season
- Buffalo Bills 8-3 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Buffalo Bills 2-1 When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-7 O-U At Home since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-3 O-U When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- New England Patriots 2-4 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-6 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season
The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2, 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC East.
The Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win, 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and in their last 5 games in September, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite.
Bills RB LeSean McCoy officially questionable for Sunday's game vs Patriots. pic.twitter.com/z79PHNpdOI
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 18, 2015
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Patriots: Brandon LaFell, Alan Branch, Chris Jones, Dominique Easley, Dane Fletcher
- Bills: LeSean McCoy, Leodis McKelvin, IK Enemkpali