New England Vs Indianapolis Sunday Night Football Spread Betting PickNoah Williams
Cancel whatever you have planned for Sunday night this week. The NFL schedule makers keep making our holiday season better. In week 11 we have the opportunity to feast on a game of epic proportions that will change the landscape of professional football for the rest of the season.
You might as well flip a coin for this one. I am going to to my best to break down the game and give you the best opportunity to win big when you bet this matchup.
AFC East leading New England Patriots visit the AFC South leading Indianapolis Colts. The Patriots and Colts are both coming off bye weeks and will be meeting for the first time since New England beat Indianapolis 43-22 in the divisional playoffs last year as a 7.5-point home favorite.
Two weeks ago, the Patriots dismantled the Denver Broncos 43-21 with QB Tom Brady throwing four touchdowns and one interception. The Colts beat the NY Giants 40-24 as QB Andrew Luck tossed 354 yards 4 TDs and 0 INT in the win.
The Colts are two and half point home favorites with a game total of 57.5.
Matchup: New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts
Date: Sunday, Nov. 16
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Indianapolis, IN
Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium
TV Info: NBC
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: Patriots Vs Colts
Point Spread: Colts -2.5
Moneyline: Patriots +130 vs Colts -150
Game Total: 57.5
Analyzing My New England Vs Indianapolis Sunday Night Football Spread Betting Pick
The Patriots are the hottest team in the NFL, unless you are an Arizona Cardinals fan. They have recorded five straight wins over the Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills, NY Jets, Chicago Bears and Denver Broncos. During that stretch Brady has thrown 18 of his 22 TDs and just one pick.
The Patriots are averaging 31.2 points per game (3rd best in the NFL) and Brady will pick apart the Indy defense that ranks 6th worst in the NFL at defending the pass. They were torched by Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, allowing six touchdowns and over 500 yards three short weeks ago.
Tom Brady has had well-documented success against the Colts during his career, winning eight of his 11 regular season matchups, throwing 24 TDs and 10 INTs, but this is the first time he faces Andrew Luck in Indy at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Since the KC debacle Brady’s offense has come to his support. Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman have combined for more than 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns this season, while Brandon LaFell has 17 of his 36 receptions in his last two games. The Patriots have 28 passing plays of 20 or more yards and are averaging 11.1 yards per catch. The Pats ground game is averaging 3.6 yards per carry and Shane Vereen has less than 50 rushing yards in four straight games.
Tom Brady to Gronk has been a prolific connection. pic.twitter.com/33j7bteVGx
— SundayNight Football (@SNFonNBC) November 12, 2014
Defensively, the New England Patriots are allowing 22 points, 355.1 yards, and they’ve forced 18 turnovers and 22 sacks. Jamie Collins leads New England with 61 tackles and Rob Ninkovich has four sacks.
The Colts are 6-3 in the season, and a victory against New England will vault them ahead of the Patriots for first in the AFC. Indianapolis averages 32.2 points per game, best in the league. Luck leads in the NFL in yards thrown with 3085 yards, and has recorded 26 TDs and 9 INTs.
Luck will have to be careful with the football as he has had trouble with Belichick designed defenses as he has thrown seven interceptions in the two carrer games against the Pats, both losses at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots defense has forced 19 turnovers in the season, second best in league, only behind the Houston Texans.
An 8th straight 300+ yard game would move Luck past Peyton Manning for the 3rd longest streak in NFL history. pic.twitter.com/smqyRVfSKS
— SundayNight Football (@SNFonNBC) November 12, 2014
Indy’s offensive supporting cast of T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne have combined for more than 1,400 receiving yards and five touchdowns, while Dwayne Allen has caught a touchdown in six of his last seven games. The Colts have 48 passing plays of 20 or more yards and are averaging 12.3 yards per catch. The Colts ground game is averaging four yards per carry and Ahmad Bradshaw has scored four touchdowns in his last four games. Defensively, the Indianapolis Colts are allowing 23.4 points, 361.7 yards, and they’ve forced 15 turnovers and 24 sacks. D’Qwell Jackson leads the Colts with 70 tackles and Vontae Davis has 14 pass deflections.
Sunday Night Football Spread Betting Quick Facts
- The Indianapolis Colts have been the favorite in all but their first game of the season when they visited Denver; they have a 7-2 ATS record in the year, making them one of the best bets in 2014.
- The Colts are also 18-5 ATS in their last 23 home games, and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 vs. AFC teams.
- This is the third time the New England Patriots are underdogs this season, the previous two games they covered the spread by winning outright against the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos.
- The Patriots are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last six games in November, and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.