Week 1 NFL AFC East Betting Prediction: Miami Hosts New England

New England’s Age, Injury & Depth Issues in 2014?

Should You Bet On New England Patriots In The 2014 NFL Season?

I know, I know…even asking that question sounds a bit ridiculous seeing as hoe the Pats have been perennial Super Bowl title contenders ever since Tom Brady took over for Drew Bledsoe way back in 2001.

Not only are the Pats a good team to bet on this coming season, but a great one – depending on the matchup.

This in-depth look at the Patriots’ upcoming 2014 campaign as we move closer to the start of the 2014 NFL regular season. Will help you maximize you chances of cashing in on the Pats over the course of the 2014 NFL regular season.

Betting On the New England Patriots to Win the 2015 Super Bowl

NFL Odds to win Super Bowl 49 +900

The Patriots won an impressive 12 games in 2013 to record their 11th consecutive double-digit win season. Not only did they manage to win a dozen games last season, but they did so with a defense that was mediocre at best – and with tight end Rob Gronkowski missing nine games and former tight end Aaron Hernandez missing the entire campaign for reasons by now, which we all know why.

Anyway, the Pats are likely to be even stronger this year after ranking a mediocre 18th against the run and a pitiful 30th against the pass.

While New England was a powerhouse on offense in 2013, both rushing and throwing the ball, it is the quality of their defense that will determine just how far the Pats go during the upcoming 2014 season.

To address their needs on defense, New England drafted defensive tackle Dominique Easley out of Florida with the 29th pick in the first round while adding former Seattle Seahawks veteran safety, Brandon Browner and Pro Bowl cornerback Darrelle Revis in free agency.

As the fourth favorite in the 2015 Super Bowl Futures Odds, the Pats are offering a value-packed +900 return should they manage to cash in and win it all.

From my point of view, that’s a very real possibility as I expect them to reach the AFC title game with relative ease this coming season.

My Pick: Play the Pats at a whopping +900, to win it all.

Betting On the New England Patriots to Win the AFC East

  • New England Patriots -325
  • New York Jets +900
  • Miami Dolphins +700
  • Buffalo Bills +1500

Analysis: The Patriots have won the AFC East five consecutive seasons and 10 of the last 11 seasons overall, falling to do so only during the 2008 season when they finished in second place.

New England went 4-2 SU, but just 2-4 ATS last season and has compiled a blistering 16-4 SU mark against their AFC East division rivals over their last 20 contests, though New England ‘s ATS record over the span is a subdued 10-9-1 .

With a healthy Rob Gronkowski back in the fold, the Pats are expecting their passing attack to be even better than it was last season.

"The knee is holding up good," Gronkowski told reporters recently. "I’m just doing what I can and doing what the trainers and coaches are letting me do in going out there and getting stronger every single week."

To get right to the point…I think the Patriots are a virtual lock to win the AFC East again in 2014. The Dolphins had a solid season in going 8- 8 in 2013, but they’re just trying to make the leap to playoff participant after losing their final two games last season to fail to reach the postseason. The Buffalo Bills are looking to get to where Miami is after winning six games last season and I have no trust in the still-dysfunctional New York Jets, mostly because of their dysfunction and lack of focus under loud-mouthed head coach Rex Ryan.

I have not one shred of doubt that the Patriots will win the AFC East again in 2014 and neither should you.

Betting On the New England Patriots to Win In Week One

  • New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins +4
  • Over/Under 47

Analysis: I guess it’s conceivable that the Miami Dolphins could get their 2014 regular season started off on the right foot by beating New England at home, but I just don’t see it happening, mostly because I have no faith in weak-armed Dolphins signal-caller Ryan Tannehill.

While the Pats lost at Miami 24- 20 in mid December last season, Tom Brady and company had won each of their prior three road visits to South Beach and have compiled a respectable 2-2-1 ATS mark in their last five road games against Miami .

New England has won three straight games in the month of September while going 2-1 ATS over the stretch. The Pats have also gone an identical 2-1 SU and ATS in their last three games as a favorite of four points or less.

I like New England to deliver a strong message in this one that they plan on contending for their fourth Super Bowl championship in the Brady-Belichick era.

I like the Patriots to cover the spread with a narrow road win.

My Pick: New England 24 Miami 17

New England Patriots Betting Tips

When the Patriots are favored, they’re apparently a very good bet as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games as a favorite. You might want to watch those point spreads however with the Pats going just 6-4 ATS over the span.

While I’ve got the Pats winning on the road in Miami in Week 1, you should know that New England is just 5-5 SU and a woeful 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road contests, including a dismal 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven road contests.

Conversely, when the Patriots play at home, they’re a virtual lock to win – and a near lock to cash in as well. New England is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home contests.

Look for New England to possibly rout Minnesota , Oakland and the Jets (once), while getting in tight affairs against the Chiefs, Bengals, Colts and Packers.

2014 New England Patriots Projected Starters





Tom Brady


Chandler Jones


Stevan Ridley  /  Shane Vereen


Vince Wilfork


Julian Edelman


Dominique Easley


Danny Amendola  /  Kenbrell Thompkins


Rob Ninkovich


Brandon LaFell  /  Aaron Dobson


Dont’a Hightower


Rob Gronkowski


Jerod Mayo


Nate Solder


Jamie Collins


Logan Mankins


Darrelle Revis


Ryan Wendell


Alfonzo Dennard  /  Brandon Browner  (post-suspension)


Dan Connolly


Duron Harmon


Sebastian Vollmer


Devin McCourty

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