New York Jets Vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 17 ATS Upset Pick

New York Jets Vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 17 ATS Upset Pick

New York Jets Vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 17 ATS Upset Pick

The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have been eliminated from the playoffs, and this is most likely head-coach Rex Ryan’s last game with the Gang Green when the Jets head to Miami in hopes of a NFL week 17 ATS upset win against the Dolphins.

After their season opening win against the similarly hapless Oakland Raiders, the Jets proceeded to lose 12 of their next 14 games. They jumped between having Geno Smith and Michael Vick take center, neither being able to accomplish anything with the bargain basement team.

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The inconsistent Dolphins may only have their pride to play for in this game, but the team has shown flashes of brilliance and will look to close the season strong.

Matchup: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Date: Dec. 28, 2014 
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Miami, Florida 
Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Radio:  New York Vs Miami
Point Spread: Dolphins -5.5
Game Total: 42

Analyzing My NFL Week 17 ATS Upset Pick New York Jets Vs Miami Dolphins

In six season with the Jets, Ryan is 5 games below .500 at 45-50, with two AFC Championship appearances, but this year his Jets have tumbled to a 3-12 record and are coming off a 17-16 loss against the hated New England Patriots.

Chances are Ryan probably will be unemployed come the new year, but he still has the brass to predict a Super Bowl win in his future.

“I see myself winning it as a head coach,” Ryan said Tuesday after Jets practice. “I definitely see it. If that happens, I guess we’ll find out.”

When asked to clarify whether he meant the Super Bowl, Ryan did not back down.

“Absolutely,” said Ryan, whose team is 3-12 and who is widely expected to be a coaching casualty on Black Monday. “I don’t need to win something else like the Snoopy [Bowl] trophy. I’ve won that a couple of times. I’m confident I can win it again.”

But it won’t be with the Jets if he is fired following Sunday’s season finale against Miami.

The Jets offense is averaging 16.4 points and 315.5 yards per game as they have flip flopped between QBs Geno Smith and Michael Vick under center. Bruising RB Chris Ivory has rushed for 792 yards and six touchdowns to lead the New York ground game and Eric Decker has caught 64 balls for four touchdowns and is the Jets leading receiver.

The Jets defense can compete in this league if they had an offense that could shorten the game give them enough points to close games. They have allowed 25.1 points and 323.2 yards per game and are minus 11 in turnover ratio. David Harris has 115 tackles, Demario Davis has 112 tackles, and Dawan Landry has 101 tackles.

The Miami Dolphins are 8-7 and will be looking to finish the season two games above .500 by beating division rival Jets. This team is progressing and management has committed to keeping head-coach Joe Philbin in 2015.

"We’re building something great here," Miami Dolphins owner Stephen Ross said in the locker room, about head coach Joe Philbin. "He’s the right guy. … I believe in this team. I believe in the coach."

The Dolphins have the 15 th rank passing offense in the league, along the 14 th rushing unit. QB Ryan Tannehill has recorded 3786 yards, 26 TDs & 12 INT in 2014 with a 93.2 passer rating. WR Mike Wallace leads the team with 67 receptions, 862 yards & 10 TDs, followed by rookie WR Jarvis Landry 703 & 5 TDs.

The Dolphins 15th ranked pass and 14th ranked rushing offenses are combing to average 24.3 points and 347.6 yards per game and they are led by QB Ryan Tannehill who has completed 67 percent of his passes with 3786 yards, 26 TDs & 12 INT in 2014 with a 93.2 passer rating.

RB Lamar Miller took over the Miami ground attack after newcomer Knowshon Moreno went down with a season ending injury. He has rushed for 921 yards and seven touchdowns. Rookie wideout Jarvis Landry has 79 catches and five touchdowns and big-check WR Mike Wallace has 67 catches and 10 touchdowns.

The Dolphins defense allows 22.4 points and 333.3 yards per game and they are plus two in turnover ratio. Jelani Jenkins has 105 tackles, Reshad Jones has 73 tackles, and Cameron Wake has 11.5 sacks. The Dolphins were playoff contenders all season until it came unraveled over the past two months.

Head coach Joe Philbin leads the head-to-head series against Rex Ryan 4-2 since 2012.

The Jets are:

  • 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record,
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC teams,
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite,
  • 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December,
  • 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games on grass and
  • 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

The Dolphins are:

  • 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record,
  • 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December,
  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East teams,
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall,
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17,
  • 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

Miami is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

NFL Week 17 ATS Upset Picks: NY Jets +5.5.