NFL Stretch Run Betting Preview…Here’s Who’s Hot and Who’s Not!Editor
Are you looking to cash in consistently as the ‘stretch run’ portion of the 2013 NFL regular season comes to a fast and furious finish?
Do you want to know which teams are hotter than a habanero pepper when it comes to covering the spread and which ones are colder than an Alaskan iceberg?
Well, if you answered ‘yes’ to either of the aforementioned questions, then you’re in luck. Thanks to this informative NFL ‘Hot and Not’ betting breakdown, pro football bettors across the globe will have an excellent idea of just which teams to back and which teams to either avoid or wager against over the course of the next three weeks.
With that said and the start of Week 15 just around the corner, let’s get started.
Hot – These teams have all covered the spread in at least four of their last five games.
Philadelphia 4-0-1 ATS
The Philadelphia Eagles (7-6 ATS) have caught fire at just the right time, winning five straight games for first-year head coach Chip Kelly. The Birds are on the road at mediocre Minnesota in Week 15, but they’re apparently going to have their hands full in trying to cover the spread against a Vikings (7-6 ATS) team that has cashed in for NFL gamblers in three straight games and five of their last six games overall. Philly is on fire right now, but they’ve got a tough trio of games to close out the regular season as they host a desperate Bears (3-9-1 ATS) team in Week 16 before finishing up at Dallas (8-5 ATS) in Week 17.
Minnesota 4-1 ATS
The Vikings (7-6 ATS) are absolutely reeling following their crushing 29-26 road loss at Baltimore in Week 14, but they’re on fire when it comes to covering the spread, as noted above. Nevertheless, the Vikes will have their hands full against three potential playoff participants over the next three weeks (Philadelphia, at Cincinnati and Detroit). Teams that have a lot to play for are generally more focused and lest anyone forget, the Vikings just lost superstar running back Adrian Peterson, likely for the remainder of the season.
Seattle 4-1 ATS
The Seahawks (9-4 ATS) are just 2-2 ATS over their last four games, but the best team in the NFC this season has covered the spread in two straight and close out the regular season with a triumvirate of games against three opponents’ whose combined ATS record is just 19-20 this season (Giants 5-8 ATS, Arizona 9-4 ATS, St. Louis 5-8 ATS). After their Week 14 loss at San Francisco, I’m thinking all three of Seattle’s opponents could be in serious trouble.
Pittsburgh 4-1 ATS
Believe it or not, the uninspiring Steelers (6-7 ATS) have somehow managed to cover the spread in four of their L/5 games. Not only that, but this struggling team could potentially run the table as they host Cincinnati and Cleveland in a pair of NFC North division battles and take on the ‘Aaron Rodgers-less’ Packers in Green Bay. Sill, I urge NFL pigskin gamblers to use caution on the Steelers over their three remaining contests.
Denver 4-1 ATS
Not only have Peyton Manning and the Broncos (8-4-1 ATS) made scoring look ridiculously easy this season (39.1 ppg, 1st), but the odds-on-favorite to represent the AFC in this season’s Super Bowl showdown, finishes up with three games against complete patsies (San Diego, at Houston, at Oakland). NFL gridiron gamblers should also know that the Broncos compiled a respectable 2-1-1 ATS mark in the four games in which they were double-digit favorites this season.
Jacksonville 4-1 ATS
Stop rubbing your eyes pigskin players…yes it’s true that the pitiful Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8 ATS) are one of the hottest ATS teams in the league heading into Week 15. The Jags have won three straight games and four of their L/5 overall while covering the spread in each SU victory. A pair of home games against Buffalo and Tennessee followed by a season-ending road date at Indianapolis, look like they could all be games in which the Jags could at least cover the spread.
Miami 4-1 ATS
With all of the scrutiny they’ve received in the wake of the Richie Incognito-Jonathan Martin bullying scandal, you’d think the young Miami Dolphins (8-5 ATS) would have fallen completely apart. Apparently, head coach Joe Philbin knows just which buttons to push with the Fins winning two straight, three of their L/4 and four of their L/6 games overall. More importantly, Miami has cashed in for gridiron gamblers in four consecutive games and five of six overall as they get set to host a struggling New England team in Week 15, followed by another pair of AFC East division matchups (at Buffalo, Jets).
Tampa Bay 4-1 ATS
Incredibly, head coach Greg Schiano may have saved his job with his team responding nicely over the last six weeks or so. The Buccaneers may be just 6-7 ATS, but they’re also on a nice roll right now, having won four of their last five games while covering the spread in five of their last half-dozen games overall. The Bucs have a pair of extremely treacherous contests remaining in Week 15 (Frisco) and Week 17 (at New Orleans).
Okay NFL pigskin players let’s look at the half-dozen teams that are really struggling to cash in right now. Let’s not forget, betting against consistent losers can be just as profitable or even more so, than backing regular ATS winners.
Not – These teams have all failed to cover the spread in at least four of their last five games.
Tennessee 1-4 ATS
The Titans (6-6-1 ATS) have failed to cover the spread in two straight games, four of their L/5 games and a whopping seven of their L/9 games overall. With nothing left to play for – and head coach Mike Munchak likely on his way out – I wouldn’t be surprised if things get even uglier in Tennessee.
Chicago 1-4 ATS
The Bears (3-9-1 ATS) may be struggling to cover the spread right now, but they did snap a four-game ATS skid by pounding the snot out of Dallas on Monday night, not to mention the fact that they’ve got a lot to play for over their last three games as they fight NFC North division co-leader Detroit for the division title and accompanying playoff berth comes with winning a division. Da Bears are at Cleveland in Week 15, followed by another road date at Philly and a season-ending home date against division rival Green Bay. Oh, let me also say that if head coach Marc Trestman takes red-hot veteran Josh McCown out of the lineup in favor of a returning Jay Cutler, he’s nuts!
Dallas 1-4 ATS
The Cowboys (8-5 ATS) have lost two of their last four games and gout absolutely embarrassed in Monday’s 45-28 loss at Chicago. More worrisome is the fact that the ‘Boys have given up a whopping 94 points in their most recent two losses. However, Dallas looks like it hit the jackpot in terms of scheduling and luck as they host a struggling Packers team that is without gifted quarterback Aaron Rodgers before hitting the road to take on a dysfunctional Redskins team in Week 16. The NFC East title however, could very well come down to the ‘Boys season-ending home date against streaking Philadelphia.
Buffalo 1-4 ATS
The Bills (6-7 ATS) have lost two straight while failing to cover the spread in each of those contests in addition to failing to cover the spread in five of their last six games overall. A road date at streaking Jacksonville, followed by a home date against division rival Miami and another road matchup against NFC East leader New England do not bode well for the Bills.
Washington 0-5 ATS
The Redskins (3-10 ATS) are a complete and utter mess right now NFL gridiron gamblers. Five straight SU and ATS loses have RGIII benched for Week 15 and Mike Shanahan halfway out the door in the nation’s capitol.
Green Bay 0-5 ATS
The Packers (5-8 ATS) may have managed to beat the lowly Atlanta Falcons the last time but, but they’ve also posted a pitiful 0-6 ATS mark over their last six games to become the coldest team in the NFL heading into Week 15. A pair of road dates against Dallas and Chicago sandwich a home matchup against Pittsburgh in week 16. A 0-3 SU and ATS mark is certainly not out of the question when uninspiring Matt Flynn is your starting quarterback.