Over/Under Picks NFL Week 14

NY Giants Vs Green Bay Packers Line & Final Score Prediction

The NFL Wild Card weekend schedule makers are closing out the first week of NFL post-season with a doozy of a tilt. It will be the 11-5 New York Giants facing the 10-6 Green Packers.

In this weekend’s most heavily bet game, the Packers opened as 4-point home favorites. Since then the NFL Wild Card Giants vs Packers betting line has jumped slightly to 4.5-points in favor of Green Bay. The game total is 44.5. Kick-off is this Sunday, January 8th at 4:40 PM ET on FOX from the Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin where temperatures are expected to dip to 7° F.

NY Giants Vs Green Bay Packers Line & Final Score Prediction

What: NY Giants (11-5) at Green Bay Packers (10-6)
When: Sunday, January 8, 2016
Start Time: 4:40 PM ET  
Where: Green Bay, WI
Stadium: Lambeau Field
Spread: Packers -4.5
Moneyline: NY Giants +180 vs Green Bay -220
Game Total: 44.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: NY Giants vs Green Bay

Why Bet The NY Giants To Beat The Packers

The NY Giants closed the regular season with a 19-10 win over Washington. They are 11-5 SU and 8-6-2 ATS this season. They average 19.4 points per game (26th) and allow 17.8 points per game (2nd).

“Both organizations have rich history and tradition. It’s exciting to be a part of it. I think if you have tradition, history, and a chance, I think it will be one heck of a battle on Sunday,” Giants head coach Ben McAdoo said. “I don’t think that the 2007 or 2011 experience really helps us out one way or another, other than that there are some players that have played in those games. They know what it’s going to be like pressure wise and condition wise. The experience part of things will help some guys out. Other than that, we need to prepare to go play a good football team and go win a ballgame.”

The Giants average 242.4 passing yards per game (17th). QB Eli Manning (1027 yards, 26 TDs & 16 INTs) recorded a franchise-record 6th season with 4,000+ pass yards. In past four playoff games, Manning has thrown 1,219 pass yards (304.8 per game), 9 TDs & 1 INT for 103.3 passer rating. He is 2-0 at Green Bay in the postseason while Packer QB is Aaron Rodgers is 2-2.

WR Odell Beckham Jr (101 rec, 1367 yards, 10 TDs) ranked 3rd in the NFL with 101 receptions & 1,367 reception yards. He will play his first playoff game of his career. Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard have combined for 2,050 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Victor Cruz has 39 receptions.

New York averages 88.3 rushing yards per game (29th). RB Rashad Jennings (181 car, 593 yards, 3 TDs) had 794 scrimmage yards. It was his 4th consecutive season with 750+ scrimmage yards.

New York has the 10th best total defense in the NFL. They allow 251.0 passing yards per game (23rd) and 88.6 rushing yards (3rd). The Giants have recorded 35 sacks this season (14th). S Landon Collins has 125 tackles, and DE Olivier Vernon has 8.5 sacks.

Why Bet The Green Bay Packers To Beat The Giants

The Green Bay Packers are one of the hottest teams in the NFL after beating the Detroit Lions 31-24 in week 17. The Pack won its sixth straight game to close the season, improving to 10-6 SU and 8-7-1 ATS. They average 27.0 points per game (4th) and allow 24.3 points per game (21st).

Green Bay averages 262.4 passing yards per game (7th). QB Aaron Rodgers (4428 yards, 40 TDs & 7 INTs) is 8-6 in the playoffs with 27 TDs & 8 INTs. He’s 2-2 playing at Lambeau in the postseason with 7 TDs and one interception. WR Jordy Nelson (97 rec, 1257 yards, 14 TDs) led NFL with 14 TD catches and ranked 6th with 1,257 receiving yards. WR Davante Adams (75 rec, 997 yards, 12 TDs) ranked second on the team in receptions and TD catches. The Packers average 106.3 rushing yards per game (20th). RB/WR Ty Montgomery (77 car, 457 yards, 3 TDs) will give the Giants D some trouble.

The Packers have the 22nd-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 269.0 passing yards per game (31st) and 94.7 rushing yards per game (8th). Green Bay has sacked opposite quarterbacks 40 times this season. Morgan Burnett has 93 tackles and DT Nick Perry has 11.0 sacks.

If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:

  • NY Giants is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • NY Giants is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
  • Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Green Bay is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
  • Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
  • The Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against the Packers.
  • The total has gone under in the Giants’ last three games against the Packers.
  • The Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last nine wild-card games.

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

Playing against the Packers at Lambeau in January is quite possibly the worst scenario for any team. What’s worse is that the Giants offense is one-dimensional and relies heavily on Beckham Jr.

In their first meeting earlier this season, the Green Bay secondary held Manning to just 199 passing yards, and that matchup will likely determine the outcome of this game.

My final score prediction is NY Giants 21, Green Bay 27.

Posted in NFL