Welcome to Saturday Night NFL. The holiday season keeps on giving and this week we shall be joyful in receiving two teams who have had a reversal of fortune over the past year all due to their quarterback situation.
The Jets (8-5) hold the second wild-card spot as part of a tie with Pittsburgh and Kansas City, but they would miss the playoffs if all three teams ran the table.Will the wildcard hopeful New York Jets let us down while avoiding letting up against the struggling Dallas Cowboys?
“Everything else will take care of itself,” Jets coach Todd Bowles said. “We don’t go into the season rooting for a certain team, so I’m not going to end the season rooting for a certain team. I’m just going to root for us and hope we do well.”
A Closer Look How To Bet The NY Jets at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 15 Spread & My ATS Pick
The NFL week 15 betting spread opened with the NY Jets as a field goal favorite to beat the Dallas Cowboys. Since then the spread has shifted a half point to 3.5. The game total opened at 42 and has currently settled at 41.5. The money line favors the Jets at -169 while a 100 on Dallas will get you 139.
What: NY Jets (8-5) at Dallas Cowboys (4-9)
When: Saturday, December 19, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Arlington, TX
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Spread: Jets -3 .5
Moneyline: NY Jets -169 vs Dallas +139
Game Total: 41.5
Watch: NFL Network
Stream: NFL Network
Listen: New York vs Dallas
Why Bet The NY Jets Spread at -3.5 Over The Cowboys
The New York Jets are 8-5 straight up and 7-5-1 against the spread this season. They average 25.0 points (10th), 253.2 passing yards (12th) and 117.7 rushing yards (12th) per game. Last week they scored their third straight W by stepping over the Titans by a 30-8 score.
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (3129 yards, 25 TDs & 11 INTs) has taken this team from the basement to Wild Card hopefuls in less than an offseason. Over the Jets last three wins, he has averaged 310.0 passing yards while combining for nine touchdowns and zero interceptions.
“It’s great,” said Fitzpatrick, who has 19 red-zone TD passes without taking a sack or throwing an interception. “But I’m focused at the task at hand. Things change so quickly in the NFL, so you have to take care of your business each and every week and things take care of themselves.”
WR Brandon Marshall (89 rec, 1187 yards, 11 TDs) has been outstanding this season, not including his infamous fumble. Last week, he caught six passes for 125 yards and a touchdown. WR Eric Decker ( 66 rec, 875 yards, 9 TDs) is the next greatest beneficiary with Marshall’s outstanding play. He is only two scores behind Marshall and has been a monster in the redzone for Fitzpatrick
“This is a huge week for us,” Marshall said. “We are continually trying to get better in all three phases. We have a lot of young guys. This is the week for veterans to really step up and put their foot on the pedal and push everybody because Dallas is going to give us their best shot.”
After starting the season red hot, RB Chris Ivory (217 att, 914 yards, 7 TDs) has cooled. He recorded only his third 100 yard game this season last week. However, expect Ivory to get the ball against Dallas a lot since he is just 86 yards away from his first career 1000 yard season.
New York’s defense allows a stingy 19.7 points (10th), 245.0 passing yards (19th) and 78.9 rushing yards (1st) per game. David Harris has 86 tackles, Muhammad Wilkerson has 12 sacks, and Antonio Cromartie has 12 deflected passes.
Why Bet The Dallas Cowboys Spread at +3 Over The NY Jets
The Dallas Cowboys are 4-9 straight up and against the spread this season. They average 17.7 points (30th), 207.5 passing yards (29th) and 118.2 rushing yards (11th) per game. Last week, they lost to the Green Bay Packers by a 28-7 score.
With Tony Romo on the shelf for the remainder of the season, head coach Jason Garret confirmed he will stay with QB Matt Cassel (1239 yards, 5 TDs & 6 INTs) for the remainder of the season. Versus the Packers last week, Cassel completed 13 of 29 passes for 114 yards, one interception and zero scores.
“I think the evaluation is who gives us the best chance to win on Saturday night,” Garrett said. “We still feel like Matt Cassel is that guy. He’s done some good things for our team over time that he’s started for us this year. Has he played perfectly? Absolutely not and no one knows that more than he does. No one knows that more than we do.”
WR Dez Bryant (27 rec, 351 yards, 2 TDs) has struggled without Romo He had one catch against the Packers for only nine yards and whose 42.9 percent pass catch rate is the lowest among any player targeted at least 60 times. TE Jason Witten (65 rec, 594 yards, 3 TDs) caught five passes for 40 yards against Green Bay.
Last week RB Darren McFadden (192 att, 798 yards, 3 TDs) ran for 111 yards on just 9 carries which is a scorching 12.3 yards per carry. He hasn’t taken advantage of being running behind the best O-line in the league as the sole starter for the Cowboys.
Dallas defense allows 23.5 points (16th), 221.0 passing yards (4th), and 113.8 rushing yards (18th) per game. Sean Lee has 105 tackles, and DeMarcus Lawrence has six sacks.
Betting Trends & Stats Related To This Matchup:
NEW YORK JETS PROJECTIONS
- PASSING: Ryan Fitzpatrick 22/36 CP-ATT, 248 YD, 1.6 TD, 1 INT
- RUSHING: Chris Ivory 17 RUSH, 73 YD, 0.5 TD
- RECEIVING: Brandon Marshall 6 REC, 81 YD, 0.6 TD
DALLAS COWBOYS PROJECTIONS
- PASSING: Matt Cassel 17/30 CP-ATT, 191 YD, 1 TD, 1.7 INT
- RUSHING: Darren McFadden 16 RUSH, 59 YD, 0.3 TD
- RECEIVING: Dez Bryant 4 REC, 49 YD, 0.3 TD
The Jets are 0-3 ATS in their last three games against the Cowboys.
The Cowboys are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone over in seven of the Cowboys’ last 10 games at home in December.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
This is a tough matchup for Dallas. Their offense can’t stay on the field and score points forcing their defense to struggle with their time on the field. McFadden will be hard-pressed to find holes in a stout Jets run defense that yields a league-low 78.9 per game and has given up 110 total during their three game winning streak. The Jets are capable of doing the same thing here with Ivory, and they also have a pair of dangerous receivers in Marshall and Decker.
My final score prediction is NY Jets 24, Dallas 14.