This is the third time over the last ten games where the New England Patriots are double-digit favorites versus their AFC East rival, the NY Jets. The NFL Week 7 odds have the Pats as 10-point favorites to beat the visiting Jets. The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 PM ET from Gillette Stadium.
Those previous two games in which the Pats were double-digit NFL betting favorites, the Jets covered the spread. Losing by a field goal both times, making them, not the Pats, the smart ATS NFL bet in their past four.
Wacky Betting Trend Of The Day
The Pats haven’t lost a game in Foxborough in October games since 2005. During that span they have gone 19-0 straight up and 13-5-1 against the spread for NFL bets backing them.
A Closer Look At The NY Jets at New England Patriots NFL Week 7 Odds & My Betting Preview
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Weather: 65° F | Sprinkles Late
Spread: Patriots -10
Moneyline: NY Jets +340 vs New England -440
Game Total: 48
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New York vs New England
If You Are Betting On The NY Jets Odds At +10
The Jets enter this meeting 4-1 straight up and against the spread. They have beaten Washington and Miami in their last two outings. Their only loss this season was against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife in week three.
New York has played well on both sides of the ball, but their defense has been outstanding. It doesn’t hurt that their new head coach, Todd Bowles, is a defensive mastermind. How good is the Jets D? They are allowing a paltry average of 15.0 points per game, the lowest in the entire league.
The Jets have done it mostly via a stout pass defense anchored by stud corner Darrelle Revis. The front seven has only eight sacks but last week’s return of Sheldon Richardson will help the cause. On the season, the Jets have allowed only six passing touchdowns. Only Denver, St. Louis and Carolina have allowed fewer.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 22, 2015
"I think it’s a different approach for us this time around and that’s how we have to follow behind Coach Bowles," Revis was quoted. "Rex, he has his way of doing things in the past, and now it’s different. This is how we approach it.
"We’re not saying we’re backing down or anything. It’s how we approach it. We know it’s a long season. The first quarter of the season we did pretty well, and the second quarter of the season, we’ll see how it goes."
This week we will see if the Jets defense is the real deal as they face the leagues top scoring offense. The Patriots average 36.6 points per game and are coming off a 34-27 win over the Indianapolis Colts last Sunday. They failed to cover the spread as 8.5 point favorites after a garbage time TD by the Colts.
This game will be won or lost by the Pats offense and the Jets defense. Tom Brady (1699 yards, 14 TDs & 1 INTs) is averaging 8.62 yards per pass, third best amongst QBs that have completed over 100 passes. New England’s short passing game is complicated to defend, but the Jets might find some success if the can pressure Brady.
As mentioned, the Jets have just eight sacks this season, but the Patriots offensive line is banged up after the loss of LT Nate Solder. Last week, his replacement Marcus Cannon (right toe) couldn’t finish the game, and was seen wearing a boot this week.
Even with all the Patriots OL problems, it won’t give the Jets the edge. At this point in the season, its hard to believe anyone or anything except for an act of God can slow down the New England offense.
If You Are Betting On The New England Patriots Odds At -10
New England’s offense is off to a historic pace, scoring 183 points in the first five games of the season. That’s one more than in 2007 when they went 16-0 only to lose the Super Bowl to the Giants.
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) October 23, 2015
The Patriots defense has been better than expected. They lost Pro-Bowl stud defenders Darrelle Revis, Brandon Browner and Vince Wilfork after winning the Super Bowl. The Pats D is allowing 20.6 points per game, 10th best in the NFL. They have also sacked opposing QBs 19 times, only Denver and Green Bay have more.
Will the Jets adjust their offensive game to counter the Pats pass rush?With QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (1177 yards, 9 TDs & 7 INTs), the Jets have found a vertern leader that is respected in the huddle. There is no doubt that he will lean on rushing monster Chris Ivory (83 att, 460 yards, 4 TDs) who leads the the league’s best-running offense. They are averaging 146.0 rushing yards per game.
After establishing the run, Fitzpatrick will have the play-option open up in the playbook and that will give hime the time to find WR Brandon Marshall (37 rec, 511 yards, 4 TDs) .
New England defense allows 114.6 rushing yards per game, 22nd best, in the NFL. Last week, they kept Colts RB Frank Gore under 100 rushing yards. Gore was averaging 6.0 rushing yards per carry before the team fell behind and had to start throwing more.
The Patriots middle linebacker Dont’a Hightower missed last week’s game due to a a ribs injury. His presence will be the key in the middle of the defense as Jets WR Eric Decker (18 rec, 239 yards, 4 TDs) is a great slot option for Fitzpatrick with he gets into trouble.
The edge goes to the Jets in this one as long as the Jets offense can keep Brady on the sideline. That means no turnovers by Fitzpatrick and alot of Ivory.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- New York Jets 4-1 All Games this season
- New England Patriots 3-1-1 All Games this season
- New York Jets 6-4 On Road since last season
- New England Patriots 7-4-1 At Home since last season
- New York Jets 7-6 As Underdog or PK since last season
- New England Patriots 2-1-1 As Favorite this season
- New England Patriots 2-3 When Line was 46.5 to 49.5 since last season
My NFL Week 7 Pick: NY Jets +10
The Jets have covered the spread over their last four games versus the Patriots. Now they actually have a competitve team. I am picking the Jets as the smart bet to cover the 10-point spread in this game.
— First Take (@FirstTake) October 23, 2015
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- New York: Stevan Ridley, Quincy Enunwa, Dee Milliner, Lorenzo Mauldin.
- New England: Brandon LaFell, Chris Jones, Dane Fletcher.