Alex Smith, Jamaal Charles and the Kansas City Chiefs are looking for some old fashioned payback against Derek Carr, Charles Woodson, Khalil Mack and the Oakland Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium in my NFL week 15 upset ATS pick. Heading into Week 12, the Chiefs were cruising towards the post season and then the Raiders embarrassed Kansas City on Thursday Night Football for their first win of the season. Now, KC has lost three in a row and Oakland is 2-1 in their last three.
The week 15 NFL betting spread favors the home town Chiefs by 10 points over the Raiders.
Which Raiders team will take the field this Sunday? The one that beat both the Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, or if it will be the team that was blown out 52-0 by the St. Louis Rams.
Can we expect to see the bumbling Chiefs we’ve seen in the last three weeks, or the team that won seven of ten games to start the season?
— Kansas City Chiefs (@KCChiefs) December 11, 2014
Matchup: Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Dec. 14, 2014
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
TV Info: FOX
Radio: Oakland Vs Kansas City
Point Spread: Chiefs -10
Game Total: 41.5
Analyzing My Oakland Vs Kansas City NFL Week 15 Upset ATS Pick
After losing to the Raiders three weeks ago, KC has lost to the Denver Broncos and the Arizona Cardinals, leaving them with a 7-6 record and currently out of the postseason. Kansas City will close out the season against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the San Diego Chargers, so this becomes a must win game.
Their biggest concern will the availability of RB Jamaal Chargers, who leads the 6th best rushing offense in the league with 898 yard and 9 TDs in the season. Charles returned to practice on a limited basis Thursday after sitting out a day because of knee and ankle injuries sustained in last Sunday’s loss at Phoenix.
"It was scary at first," Charles said after spraining his ankle last Sunday. "I thought I tore it up."
Knile Davis would take over for Charles if he’s not able to go.
Expert game manager Alex Smith is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 16 touchdowns and six interceptions. Smith has five touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and the Chiefs have 34 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Travis Kelce and Dwayne Bowe have combined for more than 1,200 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Anthony Fasano has a touchdown in three of his last five games.
— FOX Sports NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 11, 2014
"I don’t know all the (playoff) scenarios and really don’t care," quarterback Alex Smith said. "It’s not our deal. … We have to get a win this week."
The Chiefs ground game is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, as Jamaal Charles leads the way with 898 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.
Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs are allowing 18.5 points, 335.8 yards, and they’ve forced 34 sacks and nine turnovers.
The Oakland Raiders were the first team eliminated from the playoffs this season and now they are looking for their third win in four games. The Raiders have done a great job at Arrowhead Stadium over the last few seasons, winning six of their last seven visits and covering the spread in seven of their last eight.
"People had us dead and buried last week," Raiders interim coach Tony Sparano said. "I mean, we were done. It was 52-0; everybody quit. This team is a resilient team. I’ve said it all along. For some reason or another, nobody wants to listen, but I’ve been saying it. This is the type of team they are. We need to make sure that we just focus on us right now going into this. We need to understand and learn from what happened to us two weeks ago."
— OAKLAND RAIDERS (@RAIDERS) December 11, 2014
Rookie QB Derek Carr is completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in his first season. Carr has four touchdowns and two picks in his last three games where the Raiders have gone 2-1. James Jones and Andre Holmes have combined for more than 1,100 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while TE Mychal Rivera has 10 receptions in his last two games.
The Raiders ground game may have found its savior in rookie Latavius Murray. He is built like the prototypical bruising NFL back at 6’3 and 230 pounds, give or take a second helping of Christmas dinner. Add his sub 4.4 second 40-yard dash and the Raiders have their back of the future.
Defensively, the Oakland Raiders are allowing 26.9 points, 350.8 yards, and they’ve forced 18 sacks and 10 turnovers.
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, but 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in December, and 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.
The Raiders are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of 10 points or greater.
A ten-point edge for the suddenly hot Raiders over a bumbling Cheifs is a great bet to jump on now.