Betting on NFL totals is very underrated. Get an edge on your NFL Week 4 total points scored over/under bets by using my high/low scoring game analysis.
NFL Over/Under Odds Projecting High/Low Scoring Games Week 4
Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons: 46
The Titans defense is decent. It held Jacksonville to 20 points in Week 3. Tennessee faces a much tougher offense on Sunday, though. The Matty Ice and Julio Show finally got it going against the Indianapolis Colts. Ryan threw for over 300 yards and 3 TD passes.
But even though the Falcons looked good against the Colts, it’s hard to see the Titans catching up. So, either Tennessee’s defense steps it up and shuts down the Ryan-Jones connection, or Atlanta dominates Tennessee something like 24-7. Either way, this goes under.
Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans: 46
This should be the easiest overplay in NFL Week 4. Carolina quarterback Kyle Allen is a revelation. He dominated the Arizona Cardinals defense with a 261 yards, 4 TD performance. When the Cards changed their defense to account for Allen’s passing, Christian McCaffrey went wild with 153 rushing yards and a rushing TD.
Houston scored at will against a much better defense, the Chargers’, than what they’ll face on Sunday.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos: 38
The Broncos haven’t scored more than 16 points in any game this season. Jacksonville only averages 19.3 points per. If this game were in Jacksonville, we might consider going over. It’s not. Denver’s defense should pick it up at home while the Jags will use their rushing and short passing games to control the flow.
Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints: 45
Two high-scoring teams equals to betting the over, right? The Cowboys have one of the top passing offenses in the NFL. The Saints don’t pass as well with Teddy Bridgewater as they do with Drew Brees, but one of the most creative play-callers in NFL history roams their sidelines.
Speaking of that play-caller, Sean Payton kept it simple for quarterback Teddy Bridgewater against Seattle. If he does that again on Sunday, and there’s no reason to think he won’t, the Saints might try to win this one in a pedestrian 24-17 battle. Look for Payton to control the time of possession to limit Dallas’ fantastic passing attack. Under it is!
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 43.5
This is a rivalry game. In rivalry games, teams tend to put up big points. Cincinnati scored 17 versus the Buffalo Bills in Week 3. The Bills have one of the top defenses in the NFL. That should give their fans confidence that they’ll score against the Steelers.
Pittsburgh quarterback Mason Rudolph had a decent outing in Week 3. He helped the Steelers put up 20 points. Pittsburgh lost because their defense couldn’t stop San Francisco’s rally. That adds credence to the over thesis.