Patriots Vs Broncos Spread, ATS Pick & TV InfoNoah Williams
The defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos are in danger of missing the playoffs this season. Their three remaining games are all make-or-break, starting Sunday against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots.
The Week 15 NFL New England Vs Denver betting spread favors the Patriots by 3-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, December 18th at 4:25 PM ET on CBS from the Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado.
New England Patriots Vs Denver Broncos Spread & ATS Pick
What: New England Patriots (11-2) at Denver Broncos (8-5)
When: Sunday, December 18, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Spread: Patriots -3
Moneyline: New England -170 vs Denver +145
Game Total: 44
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Denver
Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Broncos
The New England Patriots are the best team in the AFC with an 11-2 record SU and 10-3 ATS this season. Last week, they beat the Baltimore Ravens 30-23 on Monday Night Football. The Pats are riding a wave of momentum behind the streaking Brady, who has 22 touchdown passes and just two interceptions in nine games after missing the first four. They average 26.7 points per game (5th) and allow 17.7 points per game (2nd).
The Patriots average 280.3 passing yards per game (4th). QB Tom Brady (2876 yards, 22 TDs & 2 INTs) had his best game of the season against Baltimore last week. He completed 25 of 38 passes for 406 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception.
“(Brady) is just so precise," said Broncos defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. “It’s kind of an honor to play against those guys. You go through your career coaching and they don’t come along — Peyton Mannings don’t come along — when you get to play against one of those guys it’s pretty neat. Obviously, you want to beat him, you realize they can beat you by the way they’re playing."
WR Chris Hogan destroyed the Ravens with five catches for 129 yards and one touchdown. WR Julian Edelman (79 rec, 791 yards, 2 TDs) is the leader in receiving yards on the team. New England averages 115.5 rushing yards per game (7th). RB LeGarrette Blount (248 car, 1029 yards, 14 TDs) reached the 1000-yard mark for the second time in his career.
New England has the 9th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They give up 248.0 passing yards per game (15th) and 90.2 rushing yards per game (6th). Patrick Chung has 82 tackles and Trey Flowers has 5.0 sacks.
Why Bet The Denver Broncos To Beat The Patriots
The Denver Broncos have lost three of their last five games, including a 13-10 defeat at the hands of the Titans last week. They are 8-5 SU and ATS this season. They average 22.8 points per game (16th) and allow 18.6 points per game (6th).
The Broncos average 234.2 passing yards per game (19th). QB Trevor Siemian (2730 yards, 16 TDs & 7 INTs) completed 34 of 51 passes for 334 yards and one touchdown against the Titans.
“I’m proud of Trevor coming back and battling through his injury and being there for his team [Sunday]," head coach Gary Kubiak said. “Trevor’s numbers are excellent. It’s about winning. This game is about winning. His numbers were big in the game, but he has to step up and make some of those plays at the end. We can make some of those plays for him at the end. For him to grow for this football team, he needs to play really well here down the stretch."
WR Demaryius Thomas (76 rec, 925 yards, 5 TDs) was his top target last week with 126 yards on 10 catches. WR Emmanuel Sanders (75 rec, 958 yards, 5 TDs) leads the team in receiving yards. Denver averages 93.8 rushing yards per game (27th). RB Devontae Booker (149 car, 511 yards, 3 TDs) has struggled to establish himself as a consistent running back on this team.
Denver has the 3rd best total defense in the NFL. The Broncos give up 183.0 passing yards per game (1st) and 127.5 rushing yards per game (29th). T.J. Ward leads the team with 81 tackles, and Von Miller leads the league with 13.5 sacks.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:
- New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
- New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
- New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New England
- Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New England
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The public loves the Patriots. They are tops in the NFL ATS standings at 10-3. On the other side, the Broncos are a above average 8-5 ATS, but having failed to cover two of their last three (and three of their last five), is a hard pill to swallow.
Sharp money has been light on this game.
The Bill Belichick/Tom Brady Patriots have struggled in Denver, but Trevor Siemian isn’t Peyton Manning. Can the Broncos’ excellent pass defense hold Tom Brady in check? The Pats D won’t help on the scoreboard. This will be LeGarrette Blount’s game. New England will win a close, low-scoring game.
Bet the under!
My final score prediction is New England 17, Denver 13.