Patriots Vs Browns Line & Pick

Patriots Vs Browns Line & Pick

Patriots Vs Browns Line & Pick

The band is back together in New England.

On Monday morning, after the Patriots were shutout by the Bills, Tom Brady returned to Gillette Stadium, his four-game Deflategate suspension in the rear-view mirror. Joining him was DE Rob Ninkovich who was serving four games for using an illegal substance.

Set firmly in their sights are the Cleveland Browns.

New England Patriots Vs Cleveland Browns Line & Pick

The Week 5 NFL betting odds favor the Pats by ten points to beat the short-handed Cleveland Browns. Kick-off is scheduled for this Sunday, October 9 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS from the FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio.

What: New England Patriots (3-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-4)
When: Sunday, October 9, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET  
Where: Cleveland, OH
Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Spread: Patriots -10
Moneyline: New England -600 vs Cleveland +450
Game Total: 46.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Cleveland

Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Browns

Many analysts predicted that the New England could run the table if they could just win their first four without Brady. Then Rex Ryan’s Bills came to Gillette Stadium and shut the Pats out last week. Without Brady in the lineup, the Patriots average 20.3 points per game (22nd) and allow 15.3 points per game (4th).

The Patriots average 210.8 passing yards per game (28th). In 2015, no quarterback threw more touchdowns than Brady. He finished the season with 4770 yards, 36 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions.

TE Martellus Bennett (15 rec, 247 yards, 1 TD) has been the most reliable target this season and will take the field with Brady under center for the first time. WR Julian Edelman (19 rec, 196 yards, 0 TD), Danny Amendola (9 rec, 119 yards, 2 TDs) and especially TE Rob Gronkowski (1 rec, 11 yards, 0 TDs) will all see their numbers go up.

New England averages 135.5 rushing yards per game (3rd). RB LeGarrette Blount (88 car, 352 yards, 4 TDs) failed to make an impact against the Bills. Blount ran for 54 yards on 13 attempts in that game.

New England has the 19th total defense in the NFL. They give up 265.0 passing yards (21st) and 101.3 rushing yards (15th) per game. The Patriots have seven sacks this season. Jabaal Sheard leads the team with 3.0 sacks, and Logan Ryan has the most tackles with 34.

Why Bet The Cleveland Browns To Beat The Patriots

The Cleveland Browns are the only winless team in the NFL after a lot of pre-season Super Bowl bets being placed on them. Their 31-20 loss in Washington last week dropped them to 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. They average 18.5 points per game (27th) and allow 28.8 points per game (27th).

The Browns average 222.0 passing yards per game (24th). Rookie QB Cody Kessler (467 yards, 1 TD & 1 INTs) is the third starting quarterback for Cleveland this season. Kessler has completed 67.1% of his passes in one and a half game.

With WR Josh Gordon back in rehab, the Browns have found Terrelle Pryor (19 rec, 290 yards, 1 TD) as their top deep ball threat. Pryor and Gary Barnidge have combined for 450 receiving yards and one touchdown while Duke Johnson Jr. has 18 receptions.

Cleveland moves the ball well on the ground. They average 149.3 rushing yards per game (1st). RBs Isaiah Crowell (60 car, 386 yards, and 3 TDs) and Duke Johnson Jr. (25 car, 156 yards, 0 TDs) have exceeded all expectations.

The Browns defense is ranked 22nd in the NFL. Cleveland gives up 260.0 passing yards per game (18th) and 118.3 rushing yards per game (24th). The Browns have six sacks this season. Jordan Poyer has 31 tackles, and Jamar Taylor has two interceptions.

Betting Trends for this Matchup:

  • New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
  • New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • New England is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
  • New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
  • New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
  • Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

Brady is back and he is about to release his wrath for a bogus DeflateGate suspension. Browns beware.

My final score prediction is New England 42, Cleveland 17.