Both teams are headed for the playoffs and both still have something to play for when the New England Patriots face the Miami Dolphins in the last game of the regular season.
What’s at stake?
With a win, the Pats secure home-field advantage in the playoffs. A loss and a win by the Oakland Raiders against the Denver Broncos will send New England to the second seed in the AFC. For the Dolphins, a win could move them from the No. 6 to the No. 5 seed, which would send them to Houston instead of Pittsburgh. That would happen with a Miami win and a loss by the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Week 17 NFL New England Vs Miami betting spread favors the Patriots by 9.5-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, January 1st at 1:00 PM ET on CBS from the Hard Rock Stadium, in Miami, Florida.
New England Patriots Vs Miami Dolphins Line, Pick & How To Stream
What: New England Patriots (13-2) at Miami Dolphins (10-5)
When: Sunday, January 1, 2017
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Spread: Patriots -9.5
Moneyline: New England -475 vs Miami +380
Game Total: 44.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Miami
Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Dolphins
The Patriots are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS this season after destroying the NY Jets 41-3 last week. They average 26.9 points per game (5th) and allow 15.7 points per game (1st).
"We got on [the] airplane and said, ‘Look, we’re finishing strong. We’re putting the pedal to the metal.’ Last year we didn’t finish strong, and we didn’t’ like the way that things ended," QB Tom Brady relayed. "We need to keep playing well down the stretch. We’ve got to try to finish strong through next week."
New England averages 268.9 passing yards per game (4th). QB Tom Brady (3278 yards, 25 TDs & 2 INTs) had a masterful performance against the Jets. He completed 17 of 27 passes for 214 yards and three touchdowns. WR Julian Edelman (90 rec, 955 yards, 2 TDs) was his top target against New York. He caught five passes for 89 yards. TE Martellus Bennett (52 rec, 668 yards, 6 TDs) has caught at least one touchdown in the last two games. The Patriots average 116.8 rushing yards per game (8th). RB LeGarrette Blount (285 car, 1110 yards, 17 TDs) set a franchise record with 17 touchdowns this season.
The Patriots have the 8th-ranked total defense in the NFL. New England allows 240.0 passing yards per game (14th) and 89.5 rushing yards per game (3rd). They have sacked opposite quarterbacks 34 times this season (12th). S Patrick Chung has 88 tackles, and DT Trey Flowers has 7.0 sacks.
Why Bet The Miami Dolphins To Beat The Patriots
The Miami Dolphins have already clinched the sixth seed in the AFC. A win takes them to Houston and a loss takes them through dreaded Pittsburgh. After losing QB Ryan Tannehill for the season, they might be looking phone this game in. The Dolphins are 10-5 SU and 9-5-1 ATS this season. They average 23.3 points per game (16th) and give up 23.0 passing yards per game (14th).
"We have an opportunity to play after Week 17, but our main focus is this week," Dolphins head coach Adam Gase said. "We’re going to stick to our plan that we’ve had this entire season of not looking past the opponent that we’ve had ahead."
The Dolphins average 219.7 passing yards per game (26th). QB Matt Moore struggled in the first half of the 34-31 win over the Bills last week. He ended the season with 233 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. WRs Jarvis Landry (85 rec, 1060 yards, 3 TDs &), DeVante Parker (51 rec, 699 yards, 4 TDs) and Kenny Stills (38 rec, 685 yards, 8 TDs) form an underrated receiving corp that can spread opposing defenses thin. Miami averages 116.6 rushing yards per game (9th). RB Jay Ajayi (244 car, 1213 yards, 8 TDs) ran for 206 yards and one touchdown on 32 carries against the Bills last week. Ajayi has put three 200+ rushing yard games this season. Two against Buffalo.
Miami has the 30th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 240.0 passing yards per game (13th) and 141.8 rushing yards (30th). The Dolphins have recorded 33 sacks this season (16th). LB Kiko Alonso has 110 tackles, and DE Cameron Wake has 11.5 sacks.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:
- New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Miami is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games
- Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Patriots Vs Dolphins Pick
Both teams are playing for better seeding in the playoffs — the 1 seed for New England and a shot at the 5 seed for Miami — which theoretically should make for a competitive game. On the other hand, the Patriots already beat the Dolphins by a TD earlier this season, and that was without Tom Brady.
Bet the Pats to win by at least 10 points.