Packers Vs Steelers Line & Expert Pick

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Line, Predictions & Free Pick

This will be the second week in a row when the Pittsburgh Steelers are facing an easy conference rival that need to beat to keep their playoff dreams alive. Last week the Steelers lost to the Ravens, putting a dent in their playoff hope, and this week they face the Cleveland Browns.

The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, January 3rd at 1:00 PM ET from the FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland Ohio.

How To Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns NFL Week 17 Line

The NFL week 17 betting line favors the Steelers by 11-points to beat the Browns. If you are betting the moneyline straight up, Pitt will pay 525 for 100 while Cleveland pays 415 on 100. The game total is at 47.5 points.

What: Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-12)
When: Sunday, January 3, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Cleveland, OH
Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Spread: Steelers -11
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -525 vs Cleveland +415
Game Total: 47.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Pittsburgh vs Cleveland

Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers at -11 Over The Browns

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 9-6 straight up and 7-5-3 against the spread this season. They average 26.3 points (4th), 283.3 passing yards (5th), 112.9 rushing yards (13th) per game. The Steelers had won three games in a row—and five of six—to position themselves well in the AFC wild-card race, but they suffered a letdown last week and lost at injury-bedeviled Baltimore, 20-17.

QB Ben Roethlisberger (3584 yards, 18 TDs & 14 INTs) posted a 62.7 rating last week. That’s his second-lowest of the season. He completed 24 of 34 passes for 215 yards, with two interceptions. He has been turnover prone with five picks in his last three games. He will bounce back this week as he has dominated the Browns during his career, throwing 32 touchdowns and 15 interceptions, with a 19-2 record.

Roethlisberger came on in relief of Landry Jones against Cleveland on Nov. 15, going 22 of 33 for 379 yards with three scores and one interception in a 30-9 home win. Antonio Brown had 10 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns, giving him 31 receptions for 460 yards and three scores in his last four matchups.

Week-in, week-out WR Antonio Brown (123 rec, 1647 yards, 9 TDs) proves he’s the top pass catcher in the league. Last week He caught seven passes for 61 yards. He also had a TD called back on the sidelines. His two compatriots, Martavis Bryant (49 rec, 765 yards, 6 TDs) and Markus Wheaton (41 rec, 692 yards, 4 TDs), also cause havoc on opposing defenses with their size and speed. All three could catch 100 yards and multiple TDS against a Browns defense that struggles against the pass.

Rusher DeAngelo Williams (195 att, 899 yards, 11 TDs) has picked up the ball and ran with it in the absence of Le’veon Bell, who has hardly seen the field this season due to suspension and injury. Last week, he ran the ball 17 times for 100 yards and two touchdowns.

Pittsburgh’s defense allows 20.5 points (11th), 278.0 passing yards (30th), and 91.5 rushing yards (6th) per game. Lawrence Timmons has 110 tackles, Cameron Heyward has 7.0 sacks and Ross Cockrell has 10 deflected passes.

Why Bet The Cleveland Browns at +9.5 Over the Steelers

The Cleveland Browns are 3-12 straight up and 5-9-1 against the spread this season. They average 17.1 points (29th), 240.3 passing yards (17th) and 96.2 rushing yards (19th) per game. They scored 13 points each time in consecutive losses at Seattle and Kansas City. The Browns have dropped 17 of 20 dating back to last season.

QB Johnny Manziel (1500 yards, 7 TDs & 5 INTs) season is over due to a concussion. Last week, he completed 13 of 32 passes for 136 yards, with one interception. Austin Davis will start in Manziel’s place. The Browns have also signed Pat Devlin to be a backup.

TE Gary Barnidge (71 rec, 977 yards, 9 TDs) is 23 yards away from his first 1000-receiving yards. WR Travis Benjamin (63 rec, 913 yards, 5 TDs) is also gunning for his first 1000 yard season.

The rushing duo of Isaiah Crowell (170 att, 653 yards, 4 TDs) and Duke Johnson Jr. (100 att, 368 yards, 0 TDs) are auditioning for jobs next season as neither has stood out in 2015. Both have had disappointing campaigns but a good performance in a game they can only play spoiler in could land either or both a starting gig elsewhere.

Cleveland’s defense allows 26.9 points (29th), 244.0 passing yards (19 th ) and 135.0 rushing yards (32 nd ) per game. Karlos Dansby has 101 tackles, Desmond Bryant has six sacks and Tramon Williams has 10 deflected passes.

Betting Stats & Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • 9/7/2014: Pittsburgh won 30 to 27, Cleveland covered +7, Game went over 41.5
  • 10/12/2014: Cleveland won 31 to 10, Cleveland covered -1, Game came under 47
  • 11/15/2015: Pittsburgh won 30 to 9, Pittsburgh covered -7, Game came under 43
  • The visiting team is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games in this matchup.
  • The Steelers are 21-3 SU in their last 24 games against the Browns.
  • The Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.

Free Pick & Final Score Prediction:

Giving double digits versus a conference rival the you play twice a year is risky, but the Steelers will rebound after last week’s lackluster effort and take their anger out on the hapless Browns. Without Manziel this team has zero playmakers on either side of the ball.

My final score prediction is Pittsburgh 31, Cleveland 10.

Posted in NFL