The banged-up Pittsburgh Steelers will try to live up to their name and steal a win away from the Denver Broncos. The Broncos should be afraid.
Pittsburgh did the unthinkable in Week 15 when they light the the Denver D for 34 points in a victory against the Broncos. The Steelers were the only team to post more than 30 points against the Denver defense this season, and Ben Roethlisberger was the only quarterback to throw for 300 yards against the unit.
Can lightening strike twice even with Big Ben’s wonky throwing arm shoulder and star WR Antonio Brown out with concussion symptoms?
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos AFC Divisional Playoffs Line and Final Score Predictions
The NFL AFC Divisional betting line favors the Broncos by a touchdown to beat the Steelers. If you are betting the money line straight up, then Pittsburgh pays 230 on 100 while Denver pays 100 on 270. The game total is a paltry 39.5.
What: Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) at Denver Broncos (12-4)
When: Sunday, January 17, 2016
Kickoff: 4:40 PM ET
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Spread: Broncos -7
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +230 vs Denver -270
Game Total: 39.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Pittsburgh vs Denver
Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers Spread at +7 Over The Broncos
As long as Big Ben plays, the Steelers have a shot at beating the Broncos. The loss the Antonio Brown will be impossible to fill, but Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton aren’t slouches.
Brown suffered a concussion in Pittsburgh’s win over Cincinnati last week on a crossing hit from Vontaze Burfict. Penalties to Burfict and to Jones for a subsequent altercation handed the Steelers the game, and Burfict was later suspended three games for repeated safety violations.
— Inside the NFL (@insidetheNFL) January 12, 2016
In the aforementioned previous meeting between these two a little less than a month ago, Roethlisberger completed 40 of 55 passes for 380 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Of the 40 completions, 26 of them went to wide receivers Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant, who also totaled 276 yards and two touchdowns between them.
“We got lucky the first time,” said Roethlisberger, the only quarterback to throw for 300 yards against the Broncos in 2015. “We made plays, they had guys injured, we were at home. It’s not going to be that easy (again).”
Why Bet The Denver Broncos Spread at -7 Over The Steelers
“We want those guys to be there,” Denver cornerback Aqib Talib said of the injured Steelers. “If we didn’t want them to be there, that means I’d want A.B. to be messed up. That’s a good dude, a good family dude. We don’t want him to be messed up.”
This is the Bronco defense’s game to win or lose and they are ready to avenge their week 15 loss at the hands of the Steelers.
Even including the loss at Pittsburgh during the regular season, Denver has gone 10-3 straight up in its last 13 games against AFC North foes. The Broncos are also 6-2 straight up in the past eight home meetings with the Steelers.
If Peyton Manning can keep the turnovers to a minimum and the Bronco defense holds, Denver will win.
Betting Trends & Stats Related To This Matchup:
- The Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games.
- The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
- The Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games.
- The Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
- The Steelers are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction:
Peyton Manning is 11-13 on his playoffs career with nine one-and-dones. The Broncos are also 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games as a favorite in January. Add all of that up and it’s bad news for Bronco-nation!
My final score prediction is Pittsburgh 28, Denver 21.