Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will look to take the next step toward cementing their status as the prohibitive favorite to win Super Bowl 51 when they host Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC championship game on Sunday.
The Patriots are currently 6-point favorites to beat the Steelers when his game goes down at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts at 6:40 PM ET while airing live on CBS. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the most value in this intriguing showdown.
Pittsburgh Steelers Vs New England Patriots Spread & ATS Pick
What: AFC Championship Game
Who: Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) at New England Patriots (14-2)
When: Sunday, January 22, 2017
Start Time: 5:40 PM ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Spread: Patriots -6
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +210 vs New England -230
Game Total: 50.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Pittsburgh vs New England
Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers to beat the Patriots
The best reasons to back Pittsburgh is that the Steelers have an explosive offense that can put points on the board against anyone and improved defense that has played much better over the last two months or so.
While Pittsburgh didn’t look like world-beaters in their narrow 18-16 win over Kansas City on Sunday and needed some unnecessary help from referees to put the Chiefs away, the Steelers did get a stellar 170 rushing yards from gifted back Le’Veon Bell and another monster game from Pro Bowl wide receiver Antonio Brown.
More importantly, the Steelers have now won nine straight games while holding five of their last 10 opponents to 14 points or less and seven of their last 10 to 20 points or less.
Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Steelers
The best reasons to bet on New England is that the Patriots have a future Hall of Fame quarterback and head coach and a ‘sneaky good’ defense that led the league in fewest points allowed.
While the Patriots struggled to shake off the rust from their nearly two-week layoff, the Patriots got a phenomenal performance from veteran Deion Lewis as the fleet-footed running back rushed 13 times for 41 yards and one score while adding two receptions for 23 yards and another score and adding in a 98-yard kickoff return score for good measure.
Defensively, the Patriots picked off Texans quarterback Brock Osweiler three times in the win while adding three sacks and limiting Houston to a 33.0 percent success rate inside the red zone.
Pittsburgh Vs New England AFC Championship Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
56 percent of the betting public likes Pittsburgh to cover the spread as a 6-point road underdog and I say that’s the right call, even though I’m bit stunned that more NFL betting enthusiasts aren’t jumping all over the Steelers right now.
The Steelers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five road games, an encouraging 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall and a consistent 13-3-3 ATS in their last 19 games in the month of January.
Conversely, while New England has gone 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an SU win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, the Patriots are also just 1-6 ATS in their last seven Conference Championships games.
While the Steelers are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 meetings against the Pats, the Underdog in this AFC rivalry has gone 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
The spread for this matchup should be much closer to three points than the nearly touchdown figure it currently sits at. Keep it simple and back Pittsburgh to get the ATS cover, although the outright win goes to New England.