Post NFL Draft Super Bowl 51 Expert PicksNoah Williams
The 2016 NFL Draft is in the books and its time to look at how it should affect your Super Bowl 51 bets. Some teams helped their causes tremendously. Cleveland did a lot of wheeling and dealing. At the end, the Browns had 14 picks in the draft. They used all of those 14 picks in order to re-build both their offense and defense. But Cleveland didn’t do enough to become my longshot post draft pick to win Super Bowl 51. Keep reading to find out who did.
Analyzing My Post Draft Super Bowl 51 Expert Picks
The Favorite To Win Super Bowl 51: New England Patriots
The Pats were the favorites before the draft. I don’t think a single team helped their cause enough in the NFL Draft to leapfrog New England. I think the Patriots are just smarter than everybody else. Even though they didn’t have a pick until Round 2, they found a way to grab contributors for the upcoming season. CB Cyrus Jones from Alabama could end up a special teams’ star. OG Joe Thuney from North Carolina State will help keep the rush from coming up the middle on Tom Brady. QB Jacoby Brissett, also from North Carolina State, has the type of attitude that Bill Belichick loves and could spell Brady late in games. The New England Patriots deserve to be the favorites to win Super Bowl 51.
The Smart Pick To Win Super Bowl 51: Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks had a major goal in the draft. They wanted to help their offensive line. OT Germain Ifedi from Texas A&M is a big body that could smoothly move into the starting line-up from Day 1. Seattle got lucky when picking up DT Jarran Reed, the second highest rated DT based on what a lot of draft analysts were saying, in Round 2. RB C.J. Prosise from Notre Dame adds depth. TE Nick Vannett from Ohio State isn’t Jimmy Graham, but is Jimmy Graham still Jimmy Graham? Vannett has nice hands and played in Urban Meyers’ offensive system.
The Seahawks didn’t need a lot of help. But they still got it by drafting smartly. Expect Seattle to make another Super Bowl run.
The Longshot Pick To Win Super Bowl 51: Jacksonville Jaguars
Don’t laugh. The offense was already set with quarterback Blake Bortles, wide receivers Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson, and running backs T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory. The Jags needed to build up their defense. Wow, did they ever!
Arguably the best player in the draft, cornerback Jalen Ramsey, fell to the Jags in Round 1. In Round 2, LB Myles Jack, who was high on the Jaguars’ draft board, was available. So, the Jags took him. Jacksonville also drafted DE Yannick Ngakoue in Round 3. They took DT Sheldon Day from Notre Dame in Round 4. The Jaguars spent 6 of their 7 picks on defensive players. They drafted a decent quarterback, Brandon Allen from Arkansas, in Round 6. With a rebuilt defense and one of the top offenses in the NFL, the Jaguars have a serious shot of winning Super Bowl 51 at huge odds.
Super Bowl LI Odds After The NFL Draft
Let’s take a look at how everyone else’s odds changed in the draft.
- New England Patriots: 15-to-2 (pre-draft), 7-to-1 (post-draft)
- Carolina Panthers: 10-to-1, 11-to-1
- Denver Broncos: 10-to-1, 16-to-1
- Green Bay Packers: 10-to-1, 10-to-1
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-to-1, 10-to-1
- Seattle Seahawks: 10-to-1, 8-to-1
- Arizona Cardinals: 16-to-1, 14-to-1
- Dallas Cowboys: 20-to-1, 22-to-1
- Houston Texans: 20-to-1, 33-to-1
- Cincinnati Bengals: 22-to-1, 18-to-1
- Minnesota Vikings: 22-to-1, 22-to-1
- Indianapolis Colts: 25-to-1, 22-to-1
- Kansas City Chiefs: 25-to-1, 25-to-1
- New York Giants: 33-to-1, 25-to-1
- Oakland Raiders: 33-to-1, 25-to-1
- Baltimore Ravens: 40-to-1, 33-to-1
- Atlanta Falcons: 50-to-1, 50-to-1
- Buffalo Bills: 50-to-1, 50-to-1
- Chicago Bears: 50-to-1, 50-to-1
- Detroit Lions: 50-to-1, 66-to-1
- Los Angeles Rams: 50-to-1, 50-to-1
- New Orleans Saints: 50-to-1, 66-to-1
- New York Jets: 50-to-1, 40-to-1
- Philadelphia Eagles: 50-to-1, 50-to-1
- San Diego Chargers: 50-to-1, 66-to-1
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 50-to-1, 75-to-1
- Washington: 50-to-1, 40-to-1
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 66-to-1, 66-to-1
- Miami Dolphins: 66-to-1, 66-to-1
- San Francisco 49ers: 66-to-1, 100-to-1
- Tennessee Titans: 100-to-1, 100-to-1
- Cleveland Browns: 150-to-1, 100-to-1
Post-draft, 12 teams saw no change at all in their odds: the Packers, Steelers, Vikings, Chiefs, Falcons, Bills, Bears, Rams, Eagles, Jaguars, Dolphins, and Titans.
Meanwihile, 11 teams saw their odds improve: the Browns, Jets, Washington, Giants, Raiders, Ravens, Bengals, Colts, Seahawks, Cardinals, and Patriots. (The Pats saw their odds improve from 15-to-1 to 7-to-1 despite the overturning of Judge Berman’s ruling in Tom Brady’s case against the NFL, which happened between free agency and the draft).
And nine teams saw their odds get worse: the Panthers, Cowboys, Broncos, Texans, Lions, Saints, Chargers, Buccaneers, and 49ers.