Bills Vs Jets Spread & ATS Pick

Are Rex Ryan’s New York Jets Bankable in 2014?

Should You Bet On New York Jets In The 2014 NFL Season?

The New York Jets (8-8 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, 9-7 O/U) will enter the 2014 regular season looking to build on the modest 8-8 record they racked up in 2013. Whether or not they will do just that as nothing is quite ever what it seems with a Rex Ryan ballclub.

Let’s take a look at the Jet’s chances of cashing in on their Super Bowl 49 Futures Odds, before looking at their AFC East division prospects and Week 1 regular season opener.

With the start of the annual preseason period set to get underway this coming week, let’s get started.

Betting On the New York Jets to Win Super Bowl 15

NFL Odds to win Super Bowl 49 are +6600

The New York Jets may be a legitimate playoff contender (maybe) after their .500 campaign of a year ago, but this team certainly isn’t ready to challenge for a Super Bowl berth, not unless you think turnover-prone quarterbacks Geno Smith (12 TD’s, 21 Ints) and Mike Vick are suddenly going to reverse course and play more like Tom Brady than their own selves.

For the record, Smith has taken all first team reps this training camp and are preparing for the second-year signal-caller to start ahead of Vick, who, for his part, seemed to agree with the team’s decision.

"I told [offensive coordinator] Marty (Mornhinweg) and Marty knows I understand that look, we have a certain mission to accomplish and we’ve got to get things going, we’ve got to get on the right track and I understand that. I won’t stand in the way of that," Vick told the paper.

Personally, I don’t see that happening – nor do I see a Rex Ryan team being able to keep its collective mouth shut long enough to be able to focus on a championship quest as their 5-7 record in conference play a year ago suggests.

I like many of the New York ‘s additions that the Jets made this offseason, including bringing in veteran running back Chris Johnson, defensive end Jason Babin and former Denver Broncos wide receiver Eric Decker who will be New York ‘s No. 1 receiver in 2014.

The Jets also used their No.1 draft pick to nab athletic safety Calvin Pryor (No. 18) and tight end Jace Amaro in the second round.

The Jets also named Tony Sparano Jr. offensive coordinator, but I’m going on record right now to say that Jets fans everywhere had better hope he’s not like his dad…the uncreative Tony Sparano Sr.

The Jets finished sixth in rushing last season as Chris ivory ran for a team-high 833 yards and a 4.6-yard average, but the J-E-T-S really need to improve their 31st-ranked passing attack before they can even think about challenging AFC east rival New England, not to even mention teams like Denver, Cincinnati or Indianapolis, three teams that all won at least 11 games in 2013.

I say save your money on the Jets to cash in against their value-packed 2015 NFL Super Bowl futures odds…unless you see this team get on a red-hot roll in the first half of the season – while every other contender in the AFC starts looking mediocre. I don’t see it happening, but almost anything is possible with a Rex Ryan ballclub.

Betting On the New York Jets to Win the AFC East

  • New England Patriots -325
  • New York Jets +900
  • Miami Dolphins +700
  • Buffalo Bills +1500

Analysis: The Jets went 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS against their AFC East division rivals last season, but again, the Jets have a long way to go if they plan on upsetting the favored New England Patriots or even the still-rebuilding Miami Dolphins who also went 8-8 last season. To illustrate how the Jets have fared in their quest to take down Tom Brady and company, just know that Rex Ryan’s teams are just 3-7 SU against Bill Belichick Patriots in the last 10 meetings, though they have managed to record a solid 5-5 ATS mark over the span.

New York ranked a fantastic third against the run a year ago by limiting their opponents to just 88.3 yards per contest, but that number is likely a bit skewered by the fact that the Jets’ 2013 opponents were able to throw the ball with success early and often last season as New York finished 22nd against the pass (246.7 ypg).

I like New York to challenge Miami for a second place finish in the AFC East, but there’s no way they beat out New England for the division title.

The difference between the staid Pats and loud-mouthed Jets is evident from the multitude of self-touting quotes already coming out of Jets camp, like this one from now, second-year cornerback Dee Milliner.

"The best corner in the league? Me," Milliner said when asked who the league’s best cornerback was. "I ain’t gonna say that somebody else is better than me."

"Don’t care if they’ve been in the league 10 years and I’ve been here five months," Milliner added. "That’s how it’s going to go. I’m the best."

My Pick: New England to win AFC East, Jets second or third

Betting On the New York Jets to Win In Week One

  • Oakland Raiders at NY Jets -5
  • Over/Under 39.5

Analysis: The Jets are 2-2 SU and ATS in their last four games against Oakland but 2-0 SU and ATS in their last two home dates against the Raiders.

Still, I’m not too fond of the Jets covering the spread in this contest, mostly because the Raiders have added cerebral quarterback Matt Schaub to lead them this coming season after last year’s debacle in Houston was laid at his feet.

I think the best wager for this Week1 showdown is to play the Over 39.5 points. These two AFC rivals have played Over their set O/U Totals in three straight meetings and I expect both teams to reach the 21-point plateau in this 2014 regular season opener.

My Pick: Play the Over 39.5 Total Points

New York Jets Betting Tips

According to their history, the Jets are a solid wager when they play at home, having gone 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games. Conversely, when the Jets are on the road, they apparently lose a lot of focus as they’ve gone just 2-8 SU and 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. New York is also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road contests.

The Jets are also 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five games against teams from the NFC North, the division they’ll play in 2014. The Jets have failed t cover the spread in their last three meetings against NFC North teams and I expect their NFC counterparts to field a strong division in 2014, so keep an eye on New York ‘s four contests against the NFC North.

I think the Jets could lay sizable smackdowns on buffalo, Minnesota and Tennessee while being on the wrong end of routs against Green bay , Detroit , Denver and New England .

2014 NY Jets Projected Starters

New York Jets Projected 2014 Starters




Michael Vick


Muhammad Wilkerson


Chris Johnson


Damon Harrison


Eric Decker


Sheldon Richardson


Stephen Hill


Quinton Coples


Jeremy Kerley


David Harris


Jace Amaro


Demario Davis


D’Brickashaw Ferguson


Calvin Pace


Brian Winters


Dee Milliner


Nick Mangold


Dimitri Patterson


Willie Colon


Calvin Pryor


Breno Giacomini


Dawan Landry

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