Saints Vs 49ers Spread & ATS Pick

Saints Vs 49ers Spread & ATS Pick

Saints Vs 49ers Spread & ATS Pick

Two struggling teams are set to meet this Sunday when the New Orleans Saints take in the San Francisco 49ers. Week 9’s NFL betting spread favors the Saints by 4.5-points. The game kicks-off on FOX this Sunday, November 6 at 4:05 PM ET, from Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California.

Saints Vs 49ers Spread & ATS Pick

The NFL Week 9 spread opened the Saints as 3-point, even money favorites to beat the 49ers. With public and sharp money on New Orleans the spread bounced to 4.5. If you want to bet the O/U the game total is 52.5. The money favors the Saints at -215 while you can cash in at +180 if you back the 49ers.

What: New Orleans Saints (3-4) at San Francisco 49ers (1-6)
When: Sunday, November 6, 2016
Start Time: 4:05 PM ET
Where: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Spread: Saints -4.5
Moneyline: New Orleans -215 vs San Francisco +180
Game Total: 52.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: New Orleans vs San Francisco

Why Bet The New Orleans Saints To Beat The 49ers

The New Orleans Saints are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS this season after beating the Seattle Seahawks 25-20 last week. They average 28.2 points per game (2nd) and allow 30.7 points per game (31st).

"I think you are constantly fighting human nature in this business, and that is you probably overreact when you lose and underreact when you win. We just want to make sure that we’re not that team that’s up and down, win, loss, win, loss. We want to constantly be trending upward", said QB Drew Brees after the game against the Seahawks.

The Saints average 326.1 points per game (1st). QB Drew Brees (2366 yards, 18 TDs & 5 INTs) completed 27 of 35 passes for 265 yards and one touchdown against Seattle. It was only the second game of the season where he didn’t throw multiple touchdowns. WRs Brandin Cooks (36 rec, 530 yards, 5 TDs) and rookie Michael Thomas (42 rec, 500 yards, 3 TD) are the leaders in the receiving department. New Orleans averages 88.1 rushing yards per game (25th). RB Mark Ingram (89 car, 339 yards, 1 TD) averages 3.8 yards per carry this season. He was benched for the remainder of the game after fumbling on the Saints opening drive last week.

New Orleans has the 19th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 287.0 passing yards per game (28th) and 110.7 rushing yards per game (18th). The Saints have sacked opposite quarterbacks ten times this season (29th). Craig Robertson has 67 tackles, and Nick Fairley has 3.5 sacks.

Why Bet The San Francisco 49ers To Beat The Saints

The San Francisco 49ers head into this game riding a six game losing streak. The Niners are 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS this season. They average 20.6 points per game (22nd) and allow 31.3 points per game (32nd).

The Niners average 161.4 passing yards per game (32nd). QB Colin Kaepernick (330 yards, 2 TDs & 1 INTs) still is trying find his game in Chip Kelly’s offense. WR Jeremy Kerley (30 rec, 331 yards, 2 TDs) leads the team in receptions. WR Torrey Smith (13 rec, 199 yards, 2 TD) is on a down year. San Francisco averages 128.6 rushing yards per game (4th). RB Carlos Hyde (109 car, 429 yards, 6 TDs) injured his shoulder in the Week 6 loss to the Bills and did not dress in Week 7. He should play this week. Hyde has six rushing touchdowns this season and will be facing a Saints rushing defense that is giving up 4.3 yards per carry and has allowed 12 rushing touchdowns.

San Francisco has the 21st-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 222.0 passing yards per game (7th) and 185.1 rushing yards per game (32nd). The Niners have recorded 13 sacks this season. Antoine Bethea leads the team with 47 tackles. Ahmad Brooks has 2.5 sacks.

Betting Trends for this matchup:

  • New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
  • New Orleans is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco

ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

Is no one betting on the 49ers because they are a bad team or an unpopular team? The Saints have covered their last four games and gone 3-1 SU in the process. The only loss was a 27-21 defeat at Kansas City in Week 7. Their 5-2 ATS record is the fifth-best ATS record in the league this season.

My final score prediction is New Orleans 28, San Francisco 17.