Week 1 of the 2015 NFL betting season is finally here. Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints open the season on the road as 2.5-point underdogs. They will face the the Arizona Cardinals this Sunday at 4:05 PM ET. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and streamed via Fox Sports Go.
Betting Trends Regarding This Matchup:
- Arizona Cardinals 6-2 At Home since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 6-2 As Favorite since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 5-2 When Line was 45.5 to 48.5 since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 4-1 As Home Favorite since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 3-5 O-U At Home since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 2-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Arizona Cardinals 2-3 O-U When Line was 45.5 to 48.5 since last season
Analyzing The New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals NFL Week 1 Online Betting Odds & My Final Score Prediction
Matchup: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, Sept 13th, 2015
Start Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Glendale, Arizona
Stadium: U of Phoenix Stadium
Spread: Cardinals -2.5
Game Total: 47
TV Info: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Radio: New Orleans Vs Arizona
The Arizona Cardinals are a paltry 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups against the New Orleans Saints. Their last meeting ended in a 31-7 victory by the Saints who covered the NFL betting spread as 7.5-point favorites.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 8, 2015
The New Orleans offense has been one of the most prolific over the last half decade. Last year was no exception. QB Drew Brees (4952 passing yards, 33 TDS & 17 INTs) had another stellar year despite missing the post season. That can be blamed on the porous defense.
WR Kenny Stills (63 rec, 931 yards, 3 TDs) and TE Jimmy Graham (85 rec, 889 yards, 10 TDs) are now with the Miami Dolphins and the Seattle Seahawks, respectively. That leaves WRs Marques Colston (59 rec, 902 yards, 5 TDs) and sophomore Brandin Cooks as the top two targets for Brees.
In the backfield it will be the duo of Mark Ingram (226 att, 964 yards, 9 TDs) and CJ Spiller (78 att, 300 yards, 0 TDs with the Bills). The pair will make an interesting combo. Ingram is a power runner who can get downhill fast. Spiller is a great pass catcher out of the backfield and can make defenders miss. Spiller will not play in this game after knee surgery last month.
|New Orleans Saints|
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Drew Brees (4952 yds, 33 TDs, 17 INTs)||LB Curtis Lofton (145 tackles)|
|RB Mark Ingram (964 yds, 9 TDs)||CB Kenny Vaccaro (2 INTs)|
|WR Kenny Stills (931 yds, 3 TDs)||DE Junior Galette (10.0 sacks)|
This team will win or lose all based on how many games QB Carson Palmer (1626 yards, 11 TDS & 3 INTS) will start. The Cards are a stellar 13-2 in Palmer’s last 15 starts. But Palmer is coming off ACL surgery at age 35, so there are questions if he can survive a full NFL season.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) September 3, 2015
The good news for Palmer is that he has talent around him. WRs Michael Floyd (841 yards & 6 TDS) and Larry Fitzgerald (784 yards & 2 TDS) are bonafide pass catchers. Floyd is questionable for week one with a hand injury and John Brown is expected to take his place.
“I don’t really know yet,” Floyd told ESPN about his injury. “They never gave me no set date. It’s kinda day-to-day as you can say it. I feel good for the most part, but obviously transitioning to practice and into a game is totally different with all the physical contact that you get. We’ll see how it goes.”
In the backfield it will be a three-headed monster with Andre Ellington (660 yards & 3 TDS) at the top followed by CJ2K and newly drafted David Johnson.
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Drew Stanton (1711 yds, 7 TDs, 5 INTs)||S Rashad Johnson (93 tackles)|
|RB Andre Ellington (660 yds, 3 TDs)||S Rashad Johnson (4 INTs)|
|WR Michael Floyd (841 yds, 6 TDs)||LB Alex Okafor (8.0 sacks)|
The Saints defense finished 2014 as the second worst in the league. They were 25th against the pass and 29th against the run. The additions of CB Brandon Bowner and linebacker Anthony Spencer. The Cardinals were the 24th in total defense, 29th against the pass and 13th against the run. The team let CB Antonio Cromartie, DT Darnell Docket, and NT Dan Williams walk away and added veteran defensive end, LaMarr Woodley.
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC teams, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0 points.
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1, 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall, 13-5 ATS in their last 18 vs. NFC teams, 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on grass, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
66% of the betting public is backing the Cardinals, but I am picking the Saints in this game. My final score prediction is New Orleans 28, Arizona 26.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- New Orleans: Jairus Byrd, Keenan Lewis, Brian Dixon, Orson Charles, Davis Tull.
- Arizona: N/A