San Diego Vs Atalanta Line & Expert Pick

Expert Picks NFL Week 2

San Diego Vs Atalanta Line & Expert Pick

The Atlanta Falcons have been one of the most surprising teams in the NFL this season. They and will be gunning for win number five when they host the San Diego Chargers this Sunday. The NFL Week 7 betting line favors the Falcons by 6.5-points.

Kick-off is on FOX this Sunday, October 23rd at 4:05 PM ET from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georgia.

San Diego Vs Atalanta Line & Expert Pick

What: San Diego Chargers (2-4) at Atlanta Falcons (4-2)
When: Sunday, October 23, 2016
Start Time: 4:05 PM ET   
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Spread: Falcons -6.5
Moneyline: San Diego +225 at Atlanta -260
Game Total: 53.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: San Diego vs Atlanta

Why Bet The San Diego Chargers To Beat The Falcons

The Chargers had ten days to prepare for this meeting after beating the Denver Broncos 21-13 last week on TNF. The team is 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS this season. They average 28.5 points per game (3rd) and allow 25.8 points per game (23rd).

QB Philip Rivers (12 TDs & 3 INTs) is balling this season, despite the lack of weapons. He completed 18 of 29 passes for 178 yards against the Broncos defense, including one touchdown. He has eclipsed the 300-yard mark in three straight now. San Diego averages 263.3 passing yards per game (12th).

WR Travis Benjamin (31 rec, 411 yards, 2 TDs) has been the top targeted receiver for the Chargers this season. TE Hunter Henry (19 rec, 310 yards, 3 TD) is the go-to-guy in the red zone. San Diego averages 91.8 rushing yards per game (22nd). RB Melvin Gordon (116 car, 393 yards, 6 TDs) had a solid game against Denver. He ran for 94 yards on 27 carries. Gordon has surpassed the 100-rushing yards just once this season.

The Chargers have the 20th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 280.0 passing yards per game (24th) and 83.5 rushing yards per game (5th). San Diego has 14 sacks this season (10th). Jatavis Brown leads the team with 42 tackles and Melvin Ingram with 3.0 sacks.

Why Bet The Atlanta Falcons To Beat The Chargers

Atlanta dropped a close game against the Seahawks last week with a 26-24 score after beating the Broncos two weeks ago. They have proved that they are the real-deal going on the road and facing two of the top defenses in the league and coming out the other side to talk about it. The Falcons were a missed defensive pass interference call away from winning this one.

The Falcons are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS this season. The Falcons average 33.2 points per game (1st) and allow 27.7 points (26th).

QB Matt Ryan (2075 yards, 15 TDs & 3 INTs) has earned MVP talk with his caliber of play this season. Ryan completed 27 of 42 passes against last week for 335 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons average 329.5 passing yards per game (2nd).

WR Julio Jones (31 rec, 656 yards, 4 TDs) leads the NFL in receiving yards. After a quiet game against the Broncos, Jones bounced back with seven catches for 139 yards and a touchdown in Seattle. Atlanta averages 112.0 rushing yards per game (9th). RB Devonta Freeman (90 car, 450 yards, 2 TDs) and Tevin Coleman (51 car, 170 yards, 4 TDs) have scored the six rushing touchdowns this season.

Atlanta has the 25th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 285.0 passing yards per game (26th) and 94.2 rushing yards per game (11th). The Falcons have recorded 11 sacks (19th). Kemal Ishmael has 48 tackles and Dwight Freeney 3.0 sacks.

Betting Trends for this Matchup:

  • San Diego is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
  • San Diego is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
  • San Diego is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
  • San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

The San Diego Chargers will take advantage of a suspect Atlanta defense to keep this game close.

My final score prediction is San Diego 28, Atlanta 31.