San Diego Vs. Denver Thursday Night Football Betting Picks

San Diego Vs. Denver Thursday Night Football Betting Picks

The San Diego Super Chargers take on the Denver Broncos in a huge battle that will settle who is the best in the AFC West on Thursday Night Football on CBS. Denver is coming of the historic 42 to 17 win against he 49ers where Peyton Manning surpassed Brett Favre’s record of most career TDs.

Meanwhile San Diego lost a close one to Kansas City, another AFC West power house, at home this past Sunday.

Who will blink in a game that could determine who gets the upper hand in the quest for the AFC West Division title? Click here for live NFL odds.

TNF Matchup: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos
When:  Oct. 23, 8:25 pm ET
Where:  Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
TV:  NFL Network and CBS
TNF Betting Spread:  Denver -7.5
TNF Money Line:  Chargers +280/Broncos -340
TNF Total:  51

Super Chargers Vs. Broncos Thursday Night Football Betting Picks

The Chargers offense underperformed terribly against Kansas City in the 20 to 23 loss. While Phillip Rivers usually throws for between 250 to 300 yards and the veteran’s QB rating is almost always above 100, Rivers threw for only 205 yards against KC. He completed only 54.8% of his passes and his QB rating ended up at 83.4.

Rivers should perform much better against the Broncos this Thursday night. In three games versus the Broncos last season, Rivers’ TD to interception ratio was 5 to 0. This includes the Chargers’ tough 17 to 24 loss to Denver in the Divisional Playoffs. He managed each one of those games about as well as anybody could have expected him too.

The difference for San Diego’s offense this season as opposed to last season is the emergence of running back Branden Oliver. Although Oliver only rushed for 67 yards against Kansas City, he managed a 4.5 yard per carry average. It doesn’t make any sense why San Diego didn’t give Oliver more carries versus KC considering how well he performed. Don’t expect the Chargers to make the same mistake in this contest.

Everybody knows how good Denver’s offense is. The Broncos are averaging 31.5 points per game, first in the NFL, and 394 yards per game on average, fifth in the NFL. The Broncos only rush for 95.2 yards per game, though, and that could be an issue against San Diego’s defense because the Chargers allow only 209.6 yards per game through the air.

The Chargers defense is actually ranked fifth in the NFL in total yards allowed at 316.4. If Denver can’t get their running game going, they’ll become one dimensional through the air. That will play into the Chargers’ strength on defense.

San Diego is 5 and 2 against the spread this season while Denver is 3 and 3 against the spread this season. One thing to note is that since their bye week, Denver has gone 3 and 0 ATS. They’ve also outscored their three opponents, Arizona, the New York Jets and San Francisco, 114 to 54. None of their 3 opponents have scored over 20 points, but there’s a caveat to that.

The three quarterbacks that Denver has faced are Arizona back-up Drew Stanton, NYJ QB Geno Smith and Colin Kaepernick who often times doesn’t make the best decisions on the field. Phillip Rivers with a rushing attack is a much different story for the Broncos’ defense.

Denver went 1 and 2 against the spread versus San Diego last season. The lone cover was by a single point in a 28 to 20 victory as a -7 point favorite. San Diego will play Denver tough on Thursday night.

This matchup should be close meaning that the Chargers are the play.    

My Thursday Night Football Betting Pick:  San Diego Chargers +7.5 Over The Denver Broncos

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