NFL Upset Picks Preseason Week 1

San Diego Vs Kansas City NFL Week 1 Line

The Kansas City Chiefs will take the first step toward what they hope will be an appearance in Super Bowl 51 when they host the playoff-hopeful San Diego Chargers in a Week 1 AFC West divisional battle that looks like it could be one of the best matchups on the entire Week 1 docket.

San Diego Chargers Vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 1 Betting Line

The NFL week 1 betting line favors Kansas City by a touchdown to beat San Diego. If you are betting the game straight-up then the moneyline pays $260 on $100 if you back the Chargers and $100 on $320 if you are betting the Chiefs. Now, let’s find out where the value in this matchup lies.

What: San Diego Chargers (0-0) Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)
When: Sunday, September 11, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET    
Where: Kansas City, MO
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Spread: Chiefs -7
Moneyline: San Diego +260 at Kansas City -320
Game Total: 44.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: San Diego vs Kansas City

Bet The San Diego Chargers at +7 Because…

San Diego (4-12 SU, 8-8 ATS) won four games last season and won’t have their first round draft pick on the field in this contest s Ohio State defensive end Joey Bosa is still embroiled in a nasty contract dispute with the franchise,

Making matters worse is the fact that the Bolts looked as inept as ever in going 1-3 in the preseason while suffering losses in each of their last two scrimmages.

Veteran quarterback Philip Rivers is back and he’ll be throwing early and often to wide receivers Keenan Allen and Travis Benjamin. San Diego is expecting bigger and better things out of second-year running back Melvin Gordon after he failed to score a single touchdown despite carrying the ball 184 times as a rookie.

Defensively, the San Diego Chargers finished last season ranked an unimpressive 21st in total yards allowed and 23rd in points allowed. Defensive end Melvin Ingram hopes to build on his double-digit sack performance and the Bolts believe young linebacker Denzel Perryman has a chance to be a potential star.

Bet The Kansas City Chiefs at -7 Because…

Kansas City (12-6 SU, 9-9 ATS) won a dozen games in 2015 and really wants to make a deeper playoff run after winning an impressive 31 games in three seasons under head coach Andy Reid.

While veteran running back Jamaal Charles remains questionable for this affair as he recovers from ACL surgery, the Chiefs still have plenty of talent in rock-steady quarterback Alex Smith, gifted tight end Travis Kelce and wide receiver Jeremy Maclin.

Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs finished last season ranked a stellar seventh in total yards allowed and an even more impressive third in points allowed (17.9 ppg). While Pro Bowl linebacker Justin Houston is on the shelf for this affair, the Chiefs still have tons of talent in the form of Pro Bowl cornerback but Marcus Peters and safeties Eric Berry and Ron Parker. The Chiefs won their final two preseason games to finish the scrimmage season at 2-2.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

While I’m not real fond of the seven-point spread in this AC West divisional showdown, I am going to encourage you to back the Chiefs to take down a Chargers team that looks like its ready to underachieve at a high rate for the second straight season.

Kansas City has won five straight over San Diego with two of the last three wins coming by at least a dozen points and the other victory coming by a touchdown.

I know the Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games, but the Bolts are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings against the Chiefs, making the outcome of this Week 1 matchup closer to a lock selection than anything else.

My Pick: Kansas City 35 San Diego 27

Posted in NFL