The San Francisco 49ers and the New Orleans Saints are both 4-4 this season, but while the Saints lead the awful NFC South division, the 49ers are third and a mile away from the top in the NFC West. San Francisco and New Orleans clash this Sunday at 1 PM ET at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. This game will be a shoot out.
The 49ers have lost their last two games, most recently in a shocker at home against the St. Louis Rams 13-10, when QB Colin Kaepernick fumbled while trying a last second QB sneak into the end zone.
San Francisco is 2-2 away from home beating Dallas and St. Louis and losing to Arizona and Denver. This game has a feeling of a must win situation for them, considering they will be below .500 if they lose and will still have to face Seattle twice and Arizona one more time, the two teams ahead of them in the NFC West standings.
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) November 7, 2014
New Orleans has won two in a row and enters the game on ten days of rest after beating the Carolina Panthers 28-10 in the week 9 Thursday Night Football meeting. The Saints averaged 36 points in their last two victories.
The Saints are listed as five-point favorites in the NFL week 10 betting odds and the game total is at 49.
The Mercedes-Benz Superdome always brings the best out in the Saints as the team have won the last 11 straight in there dating last season. QB Drew Brees has posted a 119.8 rating, throwing 34 TDs and only six interceptions at home during that streak.
Last season, these two teams met at the Superdome with the Saints coming on top 23-20. Brees threw for 305 yards 1 TD, & 1 INT while 49ers Colin Kaepernick threw for 127 yards, 2 TDs & 1 INT.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 7, 2014
The last time San Francisco won in New Orleans was on November 25, 2012 with 31-21 result. The Saints have won five of the last six in the series when playing at home.
What’s wrong with the 49ers?
San Francisco has been one of the most reliable teams in the NFL, reaching the NFC championship game over the last three seasons, until this season.
On defense, linebackers Patrick Willis and Navarro Bowman are absent due to different injuries, and outside LB Aldon Smith is suspended, leaving the middle of the unit wide open.
The offensive line has stumbled week in and week out, allowing 27 sacks, tops in the league. Behind this shaky O-line Kaepernick has thrown 1,956 yards, 12 TDs & 5 INTs and now he faces the the 27th ranked passing defense.
Against the spread betting trends
The 49ers are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU loss, 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 games following an ATS loss, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
The Saints are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC, 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite, but 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.