Seattle Vs Atlanta Spread & ATS PickJosh Bailey
Matt Ryan and the high-scoring Atlanta Falcons will look to avoid the upset at the hands of Russell Wilson and the defensive-minded Seattle Seahawks when the two Super Bowl hopefuls square off in their NFC divisional round matchup on Saturday.
Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan’s only career postseason win came in 2012 NFC Divisional Playoffs at home against the Seahawks.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) January 9, 2017
The Falcons are currently 4.5-point favorites to beat the Seahawks while the game’s O/U Total is sitting at 51. This showdown gets underway live from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta at 4:35 PM ET and will air live on FOX. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the most value in this matchup.
Seattle Seahawks Vs Atlanta Falcons Spread & ATS Pick
What: Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) at Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
When: Saturday, January 14, 2017
Start Time: 4:35 PM ET
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Spread: Falcons -4.5
Moneyline: Seattle +185 vs Atlanta -220
Game Total: 51
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Seattle vs Atlanta
Why Bet The Seattle Seahawks to Beat the Falcons
The Seahawks (11-5 SU, 9-8 ATS) recorded an emphatic 26-6 win over Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions on Saturday to easily cash in as an 8-point wild card favorite just as I predicted.
Running back Thomas Rawls pulled off his best Marshawn Lynch impersonation by rushing for a franchise postseason record 161 yards and one touchdown while wide receiver Doug Baldwin hauled in 11 passes for 104 yards and another score.
Seattle beat Atlanta 26-24 in Week 5, though the game finished in controversy when Seattle’s Richard Sherman was not called for an apparent pass interference call against Julio Jones on the game’s final play.
This matchup is also a rematch of a wild playoff game the two teams staged in January of 2013. Atlanta blew a commanding 27-7 lead in the fourth quarter to le Seattle take a 28-27 with just 31 seconds remaining. The Falcons ended up with the 30-27 win though after getting a game-winning 49-yard field goal.
Seattle is averaging a modest 22.1 points per game to rank 18th in scoring while limiting the opposition to just 18.2 points per game to rank third in points allowed.
Why Bet The Atlanta Falcons to Beat the Seahawks
The Falcons (11-5 SU, 10-6 ATS) are back in the playoffs for the first time since the 2012 season and come into their playoff opener with some momentum, having won their final four games of the regular season while scoring at least 33 points in every contest and topping the 40-point plateau twice.
This season, Atlanta put up a stunning 33.8 points per game to rank first in scoring while also finishing the regular season ranked third in passing (295.3 ypg) and fifth in rushing (120.5 ypg). Veteran quarterback Matt Ryan has had an MVP-caliber season in throwing for 4,944 yards with 38 TD passes and 16 interceptions while completing an insane 69.9 percent of his passes.
Unfortunately, the Falcons were mediocre at best across the board defensively as they finished the regular season ranked 27th in points allowed (25.4 ppg). Still, the Falcons have a Pro Bowl player in gifted linebacker Vic Beasley that racked up a league-high 15.5 sacks.
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
I’ve been a big Seattle Seahawks backer ever since Russell Wilson became their starting quarterback in 2012, but no matter how hard I try to envision a Seahawks win in this contest, I just don’t see it happening – and apparently, 59 percent of the betting public is on board with me.
Seattle’s has been wildly inconsistent – and mostly disappointing – on offense this season and just won’t be able to put enough points on the board against the Falcons to get the SU win – or ATS cover.
I’m expecting Matt Ryan to take advantage of the fact that Seattle will be without Pro Bowl safety Earl Thomas to help the Falcons improve on their 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU win.
The Seahawks are 3-5 ATS on the road this season, 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and an identical 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games overall.
Atlanta has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games against their NFC conference rivals and I believe they’re going to find a way to narrowly cover the spread against the offensively-challenged Seahawks while extracting some revenge for their controversial regular season loss to the Falcons.