The New York Giants' RB Andre Brown

Stumbling Cowboys Visit Streaking New York Giants

When the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants met in Week 1 this year, it was an NFL betting barn burner that Romo escaped with a 36-31 win that sent the Cowboys on a pretty strong run while kicking off a miserable beginning for the Giants. Since then, times have changed and every team in the NFC East has a shot at winning the division. Either this is truly the most competitive group in the league, or everyone is terrible and we just don’t want to admit it.

Dallas Cowboys (5-5) vs. New York Giants (4-6)
The Dallas Cowboys are 2.5 point dogs as they visit the New York Giants in week 12.
Starts: 11/24/2013 4:30PM
MetLife Stadium, One MetLife Stadium Dr.
East Rutherford, New Jersey


After a horrifying 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS start to the season, the Giants have gone 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over the past month. It’s literally been a tale of two seasons for Eli Manning and Tom Coughlin but things are starting to look up. Granted, they haven’t looked great in those four victories with an average of 22.3 points for and just 11.8 points against. You can credit the Giants for some of that, but you also have to admit that their competition hasn’t been stellar. Beating Scott Tolzien, Terrelle Pryor, Matt Barkley and Josh Freeman is nothing to be proud of.

And I’m not sure that securing a victory over Tony Romo would be that big of a deal either at this point. The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing 17-49 loss to New Orleans after barely beating Minnesota the week before. The memory of the Cowboys as one of the best NFL betting teams in the league has simply vanished after their 0-2 ATS record in the past two weeks. Still at 7-3 ATS overall this year, there has to be something of value in Dallas, right?

Meh. The Saints and the Giants play very similar styles of defense, and the conditions in this game play against Dallas in a big way. MetLife is a freezing cold mecca of chilling wind right now, which could spell disaster for the Cowboys who are a warm weather team that plays indoors anyhow. Romo has averaged just 247 yards per game and totaled 7 touchdowns and 3 picks in his last four efforts. Those aren’t awful numbers, but they don’t elicit much hope when you realize how awful Dallas’s defense has been.


New Orleans
NO -9.5
Tampa Bay
TB +9.5
Green Bay
GB -4.5
San Francisco
SF -4.5

On paper, the Cowboys are a star studded roster that should be capable of doing serious damage on the scoreboard, but defenses are getting better at limiting how Dez Bryant hurts you. Bryant is capable of escaping double coverage, but Romo is brutal when it comes to checking through his reads. He loses sight of Dez more often than he’d like to admit and if Dallas can’t pass the ball effectively then they don’t have a hope of winning because their defense has been gutted without Sean Lee calling shots at middle linebacker.

Make no mistake – neither team is a reliable bet in this game. What you’re hoping is for New York to thrive at home with a vulnerable Dallas defense on tap. The rushing attack for New York has been getting better every week since Andre Brown’s return, and that takes a lot of pressure off of Eli Manning. The Giants are also 6-4 ATS when playing Dallas.

NFC East matchups have a tendency to be a bit wonky, but this one seems academic. People who understand football know that losing your starting middle linebacker is almost as bad as losing your starting quarterback. Until Sean Lee comes back, there’s no way you can bet on Dallas with any semblance of realism. Especially on the road.

NFL Betting Free Pick: New York -2.5 (UNDER)

Posted in NFL