NFL Week 17 ATS Picks

Super Bowl 48 Expert Picks

Making any Super Bowl 48 expert pick this early can be a bit problematic, but since the betting line on this game opened so low, you can essentially place an early Super Bowl 48 bet comfortably on whomever you think is going to win this game. Denver holds the edge as -2.0 point favorites against a total of 47.5. So which team is worth backing? It actually might be a choice of “which player”.

Super Bowl 48
Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos meet at MetLife Stadium on Feb 2nd for Super Bowl 48
Starts: 02/02/2014 6:30PM
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey

 

The Seahawks barrel in to this game after surviving an absolutely thrilling game against San Francisco. Wilson completed just 16-of-25 passes for 215 yards and a touchdown, and gained zero yards rushing on five attempts, but he was once again resilient. An early fumble cost his team a key possession, but Wilson continued to make big plays throughout the game including a daring, 35-yard touchdown pass to Jermaine Kearse that helped put the Seahawks in front permanently.

Wilson is a tough quarterback to grade because he doesn’t provide the prolific numbers that his opposite at the Super Bowl does, but his impact on the Seahawks is undeniable. He makes very good decisions throughout a football game and rarely makes the type of mistakes that would cost his team wins.

Part of the reason that he’s able to limit his errors is because of his backfield tag team partner, Marshawn Lynch, who rumbled for an impressive 109 rushing yards against the San Francisco 49ers. Most Super Bowl 48 expert picks are going to lean on Denver because of Peyton Manning, but those that are backing the Seahawks know that Lynch is a reliable weapon. He already has 249 yards and 3 touchdowns in two playoff games. To think that he’s going to go quiet in the Super Bowl is an almost laughable suggestion especially given Denver’s lackluster front-seven.

Seattle Seahawks (15-3) vs. Denver Broncos (15-3)
Sunday, February 2nd — MetLife Stadium — 6:30pm EST
Super Bowl 48 Betting Line: Denver -2.0 (47.5)

We all know that Seattle has the best statistical defense in the league, and their performance in these playoffs have legitimized that ranking. The last time that the league’s best defense played the league’s best offense was in the 2003 Super Bowl between the Bucs and Raiders. Of course, the Gruden factor in that game was a key component, but it’s worth reminding you that the better defensive team didn’t just win that game – they blew their opponents out of the water.

That’s why I’m actually surprised that most Super Bowl 48 expert picks aren’t siding with Seattle early on. The Seahawks allowed just one team to score more than 25+ point on them this entire season – Andrew Luck’s Colts in Week 5 during a 28-34 road loss. This is a defense that rarely bends, and they’ve practically only broken down once.

Of course, there is an underlying problem with just blindly relying on Seattle’s incredible defense. They were very suspect in the final minutes of the NFC Championship to San Francisco’s hurry-up offence, and when Peyton Manning goes no-huddle the Broncos are beyond effective. They’re assassins.

Peyton Manning is also at the very top of his game. He’s coming off his best season, perhaps his greatest playoff performance ever, and has the type of confidence and killer instincts that he’s lacked in the playoffs for so many years before. The Broncos are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games and have been cutthroat throughout the playoffs, burying both San Diego and New England in two decisive victories. This is an excessively talented squad that is playing at their apex right now, and even though the Seahawks have plenty of weapons that can keep this game close, the betting line on the Super Bowl isn’t wide enough to entertain an underdog cover right now.

There’s been a lot of chatter that Manning can’t be trusted in the playoffs. I understand that; his post season stats aren’t the greatest. But don’t you feel like he’s different this year? Doesn’t it seem like he is sick and tired of doubting his ability to come through when his team needs him the most? Is it enough for you to wager on Manning in the most important game in his career? It is for me.

Super Bowl 48 Expert Picks – Denver -2.0 (OVER)

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