The defending champion Seattle Seahawks are no longer favored to win Super Bowl XLIX after opening as 2.5 point favorites.
Marshawn Lynch, the Legion of Boom and the Seattle Seahawks (14-4 SU, 10-7-1 ATS, 10-8 O/U) are returning to their second consecutive Super Bowl appearance in as many seasons on Feb. 1, while Tom Brady, Gronk and the Patriots (14-4 SU, 10-8 ATS, 11-7 O/U) have made it back to the biggest game in sports for the first time since their stunning 2012 loss to the New York Giants.
Record since Pats/Seahawks last met: Patriots: 37-11 Seahawks: 38-11 1 game difference? Seattle's Super Bowl win pic.twitter.com/8FQbGaP8Ww
— Pro Football on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 23, 2015
There is little question that most everyone is cheering for the Seattle Seahawks outside of the six states that encompass New England in Super Bowl 49. The New England, Brady-Belichick way has enraged football fans across the world thanks to deflate-gate. With no explanation, no remorse and plausable deniability the Patriots are 1.5 point favorites against the banged up defending Super Bowl champions.
The estonishing line volatility was a combination of New England’s dominance of the Colts, the early money coming on the Patriots and injury to Seahawks star CB Richard Sherman.
A Closer Look At My Super Bowl 49 New England Vs Seattle Free Pick, TV/Live Streaming Info
In a major move by NBC, the network announced it will stream all Super Bowl content for free on Feb. 1, including pregame coverage, the game, commercials and the halftime show. The game will be called by Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth, with Michele Tafoya handling sideline duties.
Super Bowl XLIX
New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks
Date: Feb 1st, 2015
Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: Glendale, Arizona
Stadium: U of Phoenix Stadium
Point Spread: Patriots -1.5
Game Total: 48
Click here for Live Super Bowl XLIX Odds
— SUPER BOWL on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 22, 2015
Play by Play: Al Michaels
Color Commentary: Cris Collinsworth
Sideline: Michele Tafoya
Pregame Hosts: Bob Costas & Dan Patrick
Halftime Analysts: Tony Dungy, Rodney Harrison & Hines Ward
Vince Lombardy Trophy Presenter: Dan Patrick
New England will win Super Bowl 49 if
Belichick can come up with a defensive scheme to stop Beast Mode
Stopping Lynch (1,306 yards, 13 TDs) will likely be easier said than done with Seattle’s BeastMode topping the 1,000-yard plateau and scoring at least 10 rushing touchdowns for the fourth consecutive season. Lynch led the league in touchdowns (17) and put up 157 yards and one score to help the Seahawks outlast Green Bay in the NFC title game.
— AtTheBuzzer (@TheBuzzerOnFOX) January 24, 2015
Even if the Pats can slow down Lynch and force the Seahawks to rely on Wilson’s right arm, there’s still no guarantee they’ll be any better off, especially seeing as how Wilson is 10-0 in his career against Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks (3-0 vs. Aaron Rodgers; 2-0 vs. Eli Manning; 2-0 vs. Peyton Manning; 2-0 vs. Drew Brees; 1-0 vs. Tom Brady). Wilson’s 36-12 record is best in league history for a quarterback during his first three seasons.
"I think their defense and our defense match up well," said former Seahawks cornerback Brandon Browner. "Luck, T.Y. (Hilton), Reggie Wayne, this group of receivers was tough. (The Seahawks) pose their challenges. Russell Wilson is a tough quarterback. He’s a tough athlete. Marshawn Lynch does what he does. They’re champs for a reason. They’ve had the best defense for the last two or three seasons. It’ll be a defensive game. But I don’t want to say too much."
The Pats are going to also have to get a 100-yard rushing performance from enigmatic running back LeGarrette Blount, a few big plays from the Tom Brady-Rob Gronkowski connection while simultaneously shutting down Marshawn Lynch and making the Seahawks a one-dimensional team that is forced to rely on the passing game.
— Pro Football on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 20, 2015
The Patriots have been aided by the rushing of Blount this postseason with the now, fifth-year back rushing for an impressive 148 yards and three touchdowns against Indianapolis in the AFC title game. They’ll need another similar performance against Seattle but it should be known that the Seahawks finished third against the runs during the regular season.
Seattle will win Super Bowl 49 if
Kam Chancellor can remove Gronk from the equation
If Seattle is going to be successful in its attempt to repeat as league champions, then the Seahawks are also going to have to accomplish several of their goals as well.
First and foremost, the Hawks are going to need to run the ball effectively against a Patriots defense that ranked ninth against the run but allowed at least 104 rushing yards in three of their last five games.
Seattle will also need gifted quarterback Russell Wilson to make at least three big pass plays in the game. After watching Wilson over the course of his young career, even Patriots head coach Bill Belichick knows stopping the game’s best young signal-caller will not be easy.
"He kind of reminds me of watching [Roger] Staubach," Belichick said during a Tuesday morning conference call with the media. "I remember a lot of Staubach’s spectacular running plays where it looked like he was about to get tackled by three or four guys, and he would Houdini it out of there somehow. You see Wilson doing some of the same things."
"[He] has an instinctiveness; he just knows where people are. It looks like he’s going to get tackled and he doesn’t," Belichick added. "You think that he doesn’t see them, but he sees them. He just knows they are there. He has an uncanny sense of awareness of what is around him, good or bad. "I can’t really define it. You can’t really coach it. It’s an awareness that all great players have it, all good players have it. I think he just has it at a higher level. It’s impressive."
Last but not least, the Seahawks’ vaunted defense had better be ready to bring its ‘A’ game against New England’s sure-fire Hall of Famer, Tom Brady. The good news for Seattle betting backers is the fact that Brady has tossed at least one interception in two straight games and five of his last six starts overall.
If Seattle’s ferocious front seven can get after Brady and harass the cerebral signal-caller, they’ll be much better off because of it!
No. 1 Seed vs 1-Seed in Super Bowl (since 1990): 2014 NE vs SEA 2013 SEA 43 DEN 8 2009 NO 31 IND 17 1993 DAL 30 BUF 13 1991 WAS 37 BUF 24
— Pro Football on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 22, 2015
Super Bowl 49 Coach Vs Coach Betting Trends!
If Seattle wins Super Bowl 49, then head coach Pete Carroll will become only the seventh coach to lead his team to consecutive Super Bowl titles, joining Vince Lombardi (Packers), Don Shula (Dolphins), Chuck Noll (Steelers), Jimmy Johnson (Cowboys), Mike Shanahan (Broncos) and Bill Belichick (Patriots).
Robert Kraft has hired just two coaches in his tenure as Patriots owner. Pete Carroll and Bill Belichick. @NFLonFOX
— P. Schrager (@PSchrags) January 19, 2015
New England head coach Bill Belichick will make his sixth trip to the Super Bowl as head coach of the Patriots (3-2). Since taking over in 2000, New England has gone 176-65. He is the all-time winningest coach in NFL postseason history with 21 victories or, one more than Dallas Cowboys legend Tom Landry.
Who will win Super Bowl 49?
I picked these two teams to reach Super Bowl 49 long before the start of the regular season so I’m not overly surprised that they’re both in the big dance, even though Seattle almost blew it in last weekend’s NFC title tilt.
Still, I’m going with the Seahawks to win it all. Seattle has now won eight straight games an has the league’s best defense, almost across the board no less as they finished first in points allowed (15.9), pass defense (185.6 ypg) and total defense.
The Seahawks are 3-1 ATS in their last four games and a blistering 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, not to mention, a fantastic 19-7-1 ATS mark in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record.
New England is 9-3 ATS in their last dozen games against a team with a winning record, but just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 playoff games and a winless 0-4 ATS in their last four Super Bowl appearances.
I say play the Seahawks to win and cash in as surprising 1-point underdogs.