Super Bowl 49 Odds On Richard Sherman Besting Tom Brady

Super Bowl 49 Odds On Richard Sherman Out Thinking Tom Brady

Super Bowl 49 Odds On Richard Sherman Besting Tom Brady

Tom Brady is easily one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game. He can read defenses and adjust as well as anybody in the NFL, possibly, as well as anybody to ever play the quarterback position and at 37, this may be his last chance at a Super Bowl.

But, Brady will, at times, fool himself into thinking that something is going to happen when it isn’t. For example, the play that caused the whole Deflategate mess is when D’Qwell Jackson fooled Brady into thinking that Rob Gronkowski had him beat, but instead he covered Gronkowski perfectly and picked off Brady’s pass as the Patriots were marching towards the end zone.

Brady rarely makes a mistake, though, and it’s doubtful that he fools himself in the Super Bowl since it’s apparent that Gronkowski is going to be covered by Kam Chancellor. What it means is that for Richard Sherman to have an effect on Tom Brady, he can’t expect to fool the quarterback, he’s going to have to outthink him.

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Sherman and Brady have had a long, even though one-sided, feud going back to their last meeting back on October 14th, 2012. Brady and the 3-2 Patriots traveled to Seattle to face the 3-2 Seahawks in a game that meant very little in the season standings this early in the season, the game wasn’t even nationally televised and the Pats were four-point favorites.

Russell Wilson was a rookie and going up against Terrific Tom who led the Pats to a 23-10 lead early in the 4th quarter. The Seahawks won the game on a late long TD pass from Wilson to Sidney Rice with 1:18 left on the clock.

In that final quarter, Brady started by throwing an INT to Earl Thomas, then went 4-12 on his next 3 drives one of which included a crucial intentional grounding penalty. On the drive leading up to the game winning TD pass by Wilson, Brady missed a third-down throw to Aaron Hernandez and a fourth-down pass to Wes Welker that was short for the first down, both would have led to a first down leaving enough time for the Pats to win the game by kneeling. That led Sherman to find Brady after the game and shout “you mad, bro?,” which was then followed up when his infamous “u mad bro” tweet that was eventually deleted but followed up with some more trash talk.

From the Tacoma News Tribune:

“I kept saying I’m going to get that next time. Every TV timeout, I went up and said it right to [Brady]: ‘Please keep trying me. I’m going to take it from you.’ That was when they were winning. He just gave me that look and said, ‘Oh, I’ll see you after game.’ Well, I made sure I saw him after the game.”

“They’re going to say, ‘What’s wrong? He threw two picks. Well, he should have thrown five picks. If Earl catches every one, then it’s a long day for him. People don’t understand. We’ve got great players out here. We’ve got great players in the Pacific Northwest. The Seattle Seahawks have a lot of talent. People, they don’t look at the film. They don’t analyze anything. That’s why these analysts and commentators need to shut their mouth.”

Now, back to 2015. Sherman is going to have to think a step or two ahead of Brady. That would be an accomplishment but for the best cornerback in the NFL, it might just be possible. Brady has a tendency to force the football to two players, Gronkowski and the terrific Julian Edelman. Knowing this, Richard is likely to gauge Brady’s intent regarding passing to Amendola or LaFell, the two wide outs that Mr. Sherman is likely to be covering.

Richard will have to be ahead of Brady. He will have to know when Brady is going to force the pass to Edelman or Gronkowski so that he use his excellent breaking speed in order to garner deflections or pick off the future hall-of-fame quarterback. This will require Seattle to play more zone coverage so that Richard can use his excellent reaction skills. The thought here is that the Seahawks know this and that Richard will be more of a freelancer than many believe him to be.

If that’s the case, Sherman could pick off Brady up to twice in the Super Bowl, which will lead to a Seattle victory.