Carolina battles Denver in Super Bowl 50. Both teams played well enough during the regular season in order to garner the top seed in the AFC and NFC respectively. Denver goes in to the Super Bowl having won the AFC as the number one seed. Carolina goes into the Super Bowl having owon the NFC as the number one seed.
Neither team was expected to get to this point at the beginning of the season. But now that they both have, it’s time to take a closer look at the betting trends for each team as well as a trends analysis.
What: Super Bowl 50
Who: Carolina Panthers (15-1) vs Denver Broncos (12-4)
When: Sunday, February 7, 2015
Kickoff: 6:30 PM ET
Where: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Spread: Panthers -6
Moneyline: Carolina -250 vs Denver +200
Game Total: 45
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Carolina vs Denver
Carolina Panthers Betting Trends Heading Into Super Bowl 50
There are nothing but positive trends when it comes to Carolina. The Panthers are 8 and 1 ATS in their last 9 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. They are 12 and 2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass. They are 4 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. The Panthers are also 11 and 4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 7 and 3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 30 points in the previous game.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends Heading Into Super Bowl 50
The trends are both good and bad for the Denver Broncos. The most telling trend is that Denver is 4-1-1 versus a team with a winning record. Denver is also 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. On the flip side, Denver is a terrible 3 and 8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Broncos are also a horrible 1 and 5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
Super Bowl 50 Match Up Betting Trends Analysis
Strength of schedule has a lot to do with the trends. Carolina got to play New Orleans, Tampa Bay and Atlanta twice during the regular season. Tampa Bay started a rookie QB in Jameis Winston. New Orleans statistically had the worst defense in the NFL this season. Atlanta started out hot but then folded like a cheap tent. The Falcons lost 8 out of their final 11 games. The Panthers also got to play against the 2 worst divisions in football this season. They battled Tennessee, Jacksonville, Houston and Indianapolis in the woeful AFC South. They took down Dallas, Philadelphia, the New York Giants and Washington in the horrid NFC East. No wonder the betting trends for Carolina are so great! The Panthers got to beat up on bad teams during the regular season.
By contrast, Denver played one of the toughest schedules during the season. The Broncos not only had to fight off San Diego with QB Phillip Rivers, the Oakland Raiders, with a very good offense, and the Kansas City Chiefs, who ended up making the playoffs with an 11 and 5 record, but the Broncos had to face the tough NFC North with playoff teams Minnesota and Green Bay. They also had to play the solid AFC North with playoff teams Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. Denver beat New England, the second seed in the AFC, without Peyton Manning during the regular season.
It makes sense why Carolina has great trends. It also makes sense why Denver’s trends aren’t as good. It’s up to you to decide if Denver’s schedule during the season is enough of a reason to not consider their bad trends when deciding on whom to back ATS in Super Bowl 50.