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Tampa Bay Vs Houston NFL Week 3 Spread, ATS Pick & TV Info

This is the fourth meeting between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Houston Texans. The visiting Bucs are one touchdown underdogs and are hoping to even the head-to-head series at 2 a piece.

This will be a big game for Bucs rookie QB Jameis Winston who is making his third start of his career. He showed progress last week after losing in week 1 and the Bucs beat the Saints.

”I will never lose confidence. Confidence is who I am,” Winston said. ”I’m just pleased with how we played, but my confidence will always remain the same and even get higher if we hopefully get on a streak.”

This week he faces a scarey defense that includes JJ Watt, a healthy Jadeveon Clowney, five-time Pro Bowl nose tackle Vince Wilfork and Brian Cushing. They will be hungry looking for their first win of the season.

The game kicks off on FOX this Sunday, Sept. 27th at 1:00 PM ET from the NRG Stadium.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Houston Texans NFL Week 3 Spread, ATS Pick & TV Info

What: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1) at Houston Texans (0-2)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Houston, TX
Stadium: NRG Stadium
Weather: 87° F/Scattered Clouds
Spread: Texans -7
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +240 vs Houston -280
Game Total: 40.5
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Tampa Bay vs Houston

Why Bet On Tampa Bay at Houston (-6.5)

Can Winston get JJ Watt out of his head.

After looking like an also ran defense versus the Titans, Marcus Mariota threw 4 touchdown passes against the Bucs’ defense, Tampa Bay’s D stepped it up in Week 2 versus the rival New Orleans Saints. Tampa forced 2 fumbles and an interception by Drew Brees. The Tampa Bay defense forced 3 other fumbles that they didn’t recover.

Houston star running back Arian Foster is still out with a groin injury. Without Foster, the Texans’ offense has been terrible. Houston has been moving. The Texans, with either Brian Hoyer or Ryan Mallett at quarterback, is averaging 268.5 passing yards per game. That ranks Houston eighth in passing yards per matchup.

But, here’s the thing:  every time Mallett or Hoyer goes back to pass, there’s a chance they’ll throw a pick. Mallett’s QB rating is only 68.6. He’s passed for 342 yards but he’s only completing 49.3% of his passes. Hoyer’s QB rating is 72.7. No matter who starts for the Texans on Sunday, Tampa’s defense will have the edge.  

Why Bet On Houston (-6.5) to Beat Tampa Bay

The weak link on this team is at the QB position.

QB Jameis Winston played a great game versus the Saints in Week 2. Winston completed 14 of 21 passes for 207 yards. He threw a touchdown pass. The most important thing that Winston did was not throw an interception. Winston had time to deliver passes and he did so. He actually played like the number one draft pick.

But, the Saints defensive line is absolutely horrendous. New Orleans doesn’t have a single person on the line that could be considered an elite pass rusher. The Saints allowed Winston to excel behind his offensive line. That won’t be the case when Winston faces Houston’s defensive line this Sunday. Houston’s defense should be one of the best in the NFL. It hasn’t shown it yet due mainly because of the Texans’ terrible offense.

After playing against Winston and Tampa Bay’s offensive line JJ Watt, Jadeveon Clowney and Vince Wilfork should have a lot of confidence. Winston has too long of a throwing motion. He brings the ball back too far, meaning that he doesn’t have a quick release. Expect the Texans to sack Winston at least 5 times in this game. Don’t be surprised if they put Winston on his back 6 to 8 times. Tampa Bay is in some trouble.

I am picking the Houston Texans as my ATS pick to win and cover the one touchdown spread. My final score prediction is Houston 17, Tampa Bay 3.   

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