Tennessee Titans Vs NY Jets Spread, ATS Pick & Betting Analysis

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Tennessee Titans Vs NY Jets Spread, ATS Pick & Betting Analysis

The Tennessee Titans are coming off of their third win of the season, first at home, only to face the New York Jets and their stingy defense. Kick off is scheduled for this Sunday, December 13th at 1:00 PM on CBS from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. 

A Closer Look At The Tennessee Titans Vs NY Jets NFL Week 14 Spread & My ATS Betting Pick

What: Tennessee Titans (3-9) at NY Jets (7-5)
When: Sunday, December 13, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: East Rutherford, NJ
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Weather: 65° F | Sprinkles Late
Spread: Jets -7
Moneyline: Tennessee +275 vs NY Jets -335
Game Total: 43
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Tennessee vs New York

The NFL Week 14 betting spread opened with the Jets as 6-point favorites to beat the Titans. Currently the spread favors the Jets by a single touchdown with 62% of the betting public backing the Titans to cover the spread. The game total for your over/under bets has stayed steady at 43-points. No shifts on the moneyline all week.

Why Bet The Tennessee Titans To Beat The Jets Odds at +7

The Tennessee Titans are 3-9 straight up and 4-7-1 against the spread this season. The record isn’t pretty but it’s already better than last season’s 2-14 overall mark. They average 20.4 points (26th), 224.3 passing yards (25th) and 102.9 rushing yards (18th) per game. Last week, they beat the Jaguars by a 42-39 score in what ended up being the most entertaining game of the week.

The Titans have found their QB of the future in rookie Marcus Mariota (2512 yards, 19 TDs & 9 INTs) and combine that with surging defensive line, this team is one playmaker away from 10 wins.  Mariota has received AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors twice, and the D-line has recorded 34 sacks so far this season. Since the O-line has given up 39 sacks so far this season, it’s safe to say the Titans are still a work in progress.

TE Delanie Walker (67 rec, 800 yards, 4 TDs) has quietly been Mariota’s top playmaker. He has the fourth most receiving yards for a tight end this season. WR Kendall Wright (33 rec, 390 yards, 3 TDs) hasn’t impressed this season. Rookie WR Dorial Green-Beckham (21 rec, 362 yards, 3 TDs) is slowly emerging as the big red-zone target he was drafted to be. He had five catches for 119 yards and one touchdown against the Jaguars last Sunday.

The Titans rush attack is the teams biggest handicap. RB Antonio Andrews (123 att, 466 yards, 3 TDs) is the team’s rushing leader, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. He hasn’t fumbled this season.

Tennessee’s defense allows 24.7 points (21st), 231.0 passing yards (9th) and 105.5 rushing yards (16th) per game. Avery Williamson has 74 tackles, Brian Orakpo has 7.0 sacks, and Coty Sensabaugh has seven deflected passes.

Why Bet The NY Jets Odds To Beat The Titans at -7

The NY Jets are 7-5 straight up and 6-5-1 against the spread this season. They average 24.6 points (10th), 253.3 passing yards (15th) and 112.3 rushing yards (14th) per game this season. Last week, they beat their in-state rival NY Giants in overtime 23-20 last week.

The Jets offense has improved thanks to the steady hand of QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (2866 yards, 22 TDs & 11 INTs) who can take the Jets to the post-season in his first year with the team. He completed 36 of his 50 passes for two TDs last week against the G-Men.

WR Brandon Marshall (83 rec, 1062 yards, 10 TDs) has left his questionable play behind him and is Fitzpatrick’s top target down field. He has 131 receiving yards and in each of the last two games along with three TDs. Both of those games were wins. WR Eric Decker (59 rec, 801 yards, 8 TDs) is a sneaky good pass-catcher and a red-zone threat.

The teams top rusher is Chris Ivory (195 att, 813 yards, 7 TDs) with an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season. Ivory hasn’t reached the 100 rushing yards since facing Washington in week three. Fitzpatrick is the Jets’ second-leading rusher with 209 yards and 2 TDs.

New York’s defense allows 20.7 points (11th), 243.0 passing yards (18th), and 83.2 rushing yards (1st) per game. David Harris has 84 tackles, Muhammad Wilkerson has 84 tackles, and Marcus Williams has nine deflected passes.

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Tennessee Titans 2-3 On Road this season
  • Tennessee Titans 4-9 On Road since last season
  • Tennessee Titans 4-6 As Underdog or PK this season
  • Tennessee Titans 3-4 When Line was 41.5 to 44.5 since last season
  • Tennessee Titans 2-3 As Road Underdog this season
  • Tennessee Titans 4-9 As Road Underdog since last season
  • Tennessee Titans 3-2 O-U On Road this season
  • New York Jets 4-2 O-U At Home this season
  • New York Jets 6-2 O-U When Line is <45 this season
  • New York Jets 3-2 O-U When Line was 41.5 to 44.5 this season

The Titans are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss, 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 14, 15-35-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 14-33-5 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC.

The Jets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction:

The betting public is 62% on the Tennessee Titans to cover the 7-point spread as underdogs versus the Jets. The point spread opened at NYJ -6. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the New York Jets to cover.

The Titans rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota hasn’t won back to back in the pros. I am predicting that the Jets defensive front will overwhelm the rookie QB with pressure and will come up with a 10 point win.

My final score prediction is Tennessee 17, NY Jets 27.